Championship·Regular Season - 26·
Championship·Regular Season - 26·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
23%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.843.08safe0.27–2.210.98–2.691.26–4.90safer0.02–2.460.75–2.920.78–5.38
Shots on target
32%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.345.299.63safe2.48–6.203.55–7.036.02–13.23safer1.99–6.693.08–7.505.07–14.19
Total shots
42%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0513.5626.61safe9.13–16.9810.00–17.1219.12–34.10safer8.04–18.079.04–18.0817.07–36.15
Shots in box
32%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction8.7110.2218.92safe5.76–11.657.53–12.9013.30–24.54safer4.93–12.486.80–13.6311.73–26.11
Blocked shots
49%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.553.126.67safe1.67–5.431.46–4.773.13–10.20safer1.13–5.980.97–5.262.10–11.24
Corners
36%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction4.975.5810.54safe2.75–7.183.58–7.586.33–14.76safer2.18–7.753.05–8.115.22–15.86
Possession %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction43.5956.23safe36.80–50.3849.44–63.01safer35.13–52.0547.77–64.68
Passes
17%
83%
homeawaytotalprediction382496878safe315–449429–562744–1011safer296–467412–580708–1047
Pass accuracy %
84%
homeawayprediction66.8275.13safe62.79–70.8570.80–79.45safer61.50–72.1569.49–80.76
Fouls
57%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2110.8023.00safe9.37–15.047.85–13.7417.22–28.78safer8.61–15.807.10–14.4915.71–30.29
Offsides
81%
homeawaytotalprediction1.614.155.75safe0.45–2.773.05–5.243.50–8.01safer0.14–3.072.77–5.532.91–8.59
Yellow cards
42%
22%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.753.62safe0.82–2.920.62–2.871.44–5.79safer0.55–3.180.33–3.170.88–6.35
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
45%
16%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.333.146.47safe1.90–4.771.58–4.693.48–9.46safer1.51–5.161.16–5.122.67–10.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.24 0.27–2.21 0.02–2.46 | 1.84 0.98–2.69 0.75–2.92 | 3.08 1.26–4.90 0.78–5.38 | 26% 23% 51% |
| Shots on target | 4.34 2.48–6.20 1.99–6.69 | 5.29 3.55–7.03 3.08–7.50 | 9.63 6.02–13.23 5.07–14.19 | 32% 56% |
| Total shots | 13.05 9.13–16.98 8.04–18.07 | 13.56 10.00–17.12 9.04–18.08 | 26.61 19.12–34.10 17.07–36.15 | 42% 50% |
| Shots in box | 8.71 5.76–11.65 4.93–12.48 | 10.22 7.53–12.90 6.80–13.63 | 18.92 13.30–24.54 11.73–26.11 | 32% 59% |
| Blocked shots | 3.55 1.67–5.43 1.13–5.98 | 3.12 1.46–4.77 0.97–5.26 | 6.67 3.13–10.20 2.10–11.24 | 49% 16% 36% |
| Corners | 4.97 2.75–7.18 2.18–7.75 | 5.58 3.58–7.58 3.05–8.11 | 10.54 6.33–14.76 5.22–15.86 | 36% 51% |
| Possession % | 43.59 36.80–50.38 35.13–52.05 | 56.23 49.44–63.01 47.77–64.68 | — | 21% 75% |
| Passes | 382 315–449 296–467 | 496 429–562 412–580 | 878 744–1011 708–1047 | 17% 83% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.82 62.79–70.85 61.50–72.15 | 75.13 70.80–79.45 69.49–80.76 | — | 84% |
| Fouls | 12.21 9.37–15.04 8.61–15.80 | 10.80 7.85–13.74 7.10–14.49 | 23.00 17.22–28.78 15.71–30.29 | 57% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.61 0.45–2.77 0.14–3.07 | 4.15 3.05–5.24 2.77–5.53 | 5.75 3.50–8.01 2.91–8.59 | 81% |
| Yellow cards | 1.87 0.82–2.92 0.55–3.18 | 1.75 0.62–2.87 0.33–3.17 | 3.62 1.44–5.79 0.88–6.35 | 42% 22% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.33 1.90–4.77 1.51–5.16 | 3.14 1.58–4.69 1.16–5.12 | 6.47 3.48–9.46 2.67–10.28 | 45% 16% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.