Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.523.10safe0.60–2.540.67–2.381.28–4.92safer0.35–2.790.44–2.610.80–5.40
Shots on target
50%
13%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.904.419.31safe3.04–6.762.67–6.165.71–12.92safer2.55–7.252.20–6.624.75–13.87
Total shots
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction14.7511.9526.69safe10.82–18.678.38–15.5119.21–34.18safer9.73–19.767.43–16.4717.16–36.23
Shots in box
54%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction9.278.2917.56safe6.32–12.215.61–10.9711.93–23.18safer5.50–13.044.87–11.7110.37–24.75
Blocked shots
60%
13%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.493.297.78safe2.60–6.371.64–4.954.25–11.32safer2.06–6.911.15–5.443.21–12.35
Corners
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.434.329.75safe3.22–7.642.32–6.325.54–13.96safer2.64–8.221.79–6.854.43–15.07
Possession %
70%
26%
homeawayprediction55.4145.34safe48.62–62.2038.55–52.12safer46.95–63.8736.88–53.80
Passes
84%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction542420962safe475–609354–487829–1096safer457–627336–504793–1132
Pass accuracy %
61%
34%
homeawayprediction76.0573.45safe72.02–80.0869.13–77.77safer70.73–81.3867.82–79.08
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.5411.9922.53safe7.70–13.389.05–14.9416.75–28.31safer6.95–14.138.30–15.6915.25–29.82
Offsides
23%
17%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.712.754.47safe0.55–2.871.66–3.852.21–6.72safer0.25–3.171.37–4.141.62–7.31
Yellow cards
32%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.601.973.56safe0.55–2.650.84–3.091.38–5.74safer0.28–2.910.54–3.390.83–6.30
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
33%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.793.386.17safe1.36–4.231.82–4.933.18–9.16safer0.97–4.621.40–5.362.37–9.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.57 0.60–2.54 0.35–2.79 | 1.52 0.67–2.38 0.44–2.61 | 3.10 1.28–4.92 0.80–5.40 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.90 3.04–6.76 2.55–7.25 | 4.41 2.67–6.16 2.20–6.62 | 9.31 5.71–12.92 4.75–13.87 | 50% 13% 37% |
| Total shots | 14.75 10.82–18.67 9.73–19.76 | 11.95 8.38–15.51 7.43–16.47 | 26.69 19.21–34.18 17.16–36.23 | 67% 26% |
| Shots in box | 9.27 6.32–12.21 5.50–13.04 | 8.29 5.61–10.97 4.87–11.71 | 17.56 11.93–23.18 10.37–24.75 | 54% 36% |
| Blocked shots | 4.49 2.60–6.37 2.06–6.91 | 3.29 1.64–4.95 1.15–5.44 | 7.78 4.25–11.32 3.21–12.35 | 60% 13% 27% |
| Corners | 5.43 3.22–7.64 2.64–8.22 | 4.32 2.32–6.32 1.79–6.85 | 9.75 5.54–13.96 4.43–15.07 | 58% 30% |
| Possession % | 55.41 48.62–62.20 46.95–63.87 | 45.34 38.55–52.12 36.88–53.80 | — | 70% 26% |
| Passes | 542 475–609 457–627 | 420 354–487 336–504 | 962 829–1096 793–1132 | 84% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.05 72.02–80.08 70.73–81.38 | 73.45 69.13–77.77 67.82–79.08 | — | 61% 34% |
| Fouls | 10.54 7.70–13.38 6.95–14.13 | 11.99 9.05–14.94 8.30–15.69 | 22.53 16.75–28.31 15.25–29.82 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.25–3.17 | 2.75 1.66–3.85 1.37–4.14 | 4.47 2.21–6.72 1.62–7.31 | 23% 17% 60% |
| Yellow cards | 1.60 0.55–2.65 0.28–2.91 | 1.97 0.84–3.09 0.54–3.39 | 3.56 1.38–5.74 0.83–6.30 | 32% 22% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.79 1.36–4.23 0.97–4.62 | 3.38 1.82–4.93 1.40–5.36 | 6.17 3.18–9.16 2.37–9.98 | 33% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+