Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
24%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.262.90safe0.67–2.610.40–2.111.07–4.72safer0.42–2.860.17–2.340.59–5.20
Shots on target
50%
13%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.904.419.32safe3.04–6.772.67–6.165.71–12.92safer2.55–7.262.20–6.624.76–13.88
Total shots
57%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8412.4626.29safe9.91–17.768.89–16.0218.80–33.78safer8.82–18.857.93–16.9816.75–35.83
Shots in box
64%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction10.017.9717.98safe7.07–12.955.29–10.6612.36–23.61safer6.24–13.784.56–11.3910.79–25.17
Blocked shots
48%
15%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.883.537.41safe2.00–5.771.87–5.183.87–10.94safer1.46–6.311.38–5.672.84–11.98
Corners
59%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.914.6710.58safe3.69–8.122.67–6.676.36–14.79safer3.12–8.692.14–7.205.26–15.90
Possession %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction47.1652.97safe40.37–53.9546.18–59.75safer38.70–55.6244.51–61.42
Passes
25%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction448528976safe381–515461–594842–1109safer363–533444–612806–1145
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction71.8177.53safe67.78–75.8473.21–81.86safer66.48–77.1371.90–83.17
Fouls
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1010.5121.61safe8.26–13.947.56–13.4515.83–27.39safer7.51–14.696.81–14.2014.32–28.89
Offsides
63%
17%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction2.751.544.29safe1.59–3.910.45–2.632.04–6.55safer1.29–4.220.16–2.921.45–7.14
Yellow cards
33%
24%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.663.09safe0.38–2.470.53–2.790.91–5.27safer0.11–2.740.24–3.080.35–5.82
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.070.12safe0.00–0.210.00–0.250.00–0.46safer0.00–0.360.00–0.390.00–0.75
GK saves
38%
16%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.943.206.14safe1.50–4.371.64–4.763.14–9.13safer1.11–4.761.22–5.182.33–9.94
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.64 0.67–2.61 0.42–2.86 | 1.26 0.40–2.11 0.17–2.34 | 2.90 1.07–4.72 0.59–5.20 | 46% 24% 29% |
| Shots on target | 4.90 3.04–6.77 2.55–7.26 | 4.41 2.67–6.16 2.20–6.62 | 9.32 5.71–12.92 4.76–13.88 | 50% 13% 37% |
| Total shots | 13.84 9.91–17.76 8.82–18.85 | 12.46 8.89–16.02 7.93–16.98 | 26.29 18.80–33.78 16.75–35.83 | 57% 36% |
| Shots in box | 10.01 7.07–12.95 6.24–13.78 | 7.97 5.29–10.66 4.56–11.39 | 17.98 12.36–23.61 10.79–25.17 | 64% 27% |
| Blocked shots | 3.88 2.00–5.77 1.46–6.31 | 3.53 1.87–5.18 1.38–5.67 | 7.41 3.87–10.94 2.84–11.98 | 48% 15% 37% |
| Corners | 5.91 3.69–8.12 3.12–8.69 | 4.67 2.67–6.67 2.14–7.20 | 10.58 6.36–14.79 5.26–15.90 | 59% 30% |
| Possession % | 47.16 40.37–53.95 38.70–55.62 | 52.97 46.18–59.75 44.51–61.42 | — | 34% 61% |
| Passes | 448 381–515 363–533 | 528 461–594 444–612 | 976 842–1109 806–1145 | 25% 75% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.81 67.78–75.84 66.48–77.13 | 77.53 73.21–81.86 71.90–83.17 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 11.10 8.26–13.94 7.51–14.69 | 10.51 7.56–13.45 6.81–14.20 | 21.61 15.83–27.39 14.32–28.89 | 51% 41% |
| Offsides | 2.75 1.59–3.91 1.29–4.22 | 1.54 0.45–2.63 0.16–2.92 | 4.29 2.04–6.55 1.45–7.14 | 63% 17% 20% |
| Yellow cards | 1.43 0.38–2.47 0.11–2.74 | 1.66 0.53–2.79 0.24–3.08 | 3.09 0.91–5.27 0.35–5.82 | 33% 24% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.46 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.94 1.50–4.37 1.11–4.76 | 3.20 1.64–4.76 1.22–5.18 | 6.14 3.14–9.13 2.33–9.94 | 38% 16% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.