Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
27%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.360.972.33safe0.39–2.330.12–1.830.51–4.15safer0.14–2.580.00–2.060.03–4.63
Shots on target
61%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.943.608.54safe3.08–6.801.86–5.344.94–12.15safer2.59–7.291.39–5.813.98–13.10
Total shots
82%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2310.9227.16safe12.31–20.167.36–14.4919.67–34.64safer11.22–21.256.40–15.4517.62–36.69
Shots in box
60%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction9.077.5516.62safe6.13–12.014.87–10.2311.00–22.25safer5.30–12.844.13–10.979.43–23.81
Blocked shots
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction4.952.947.89safe3.07–6.831.29–4.594.35–11.42safer2.52–7.370.79–5.083.32–12.46
Corners
60%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.754.4610.21safe3.54–7.962.46–6.465.99–14.42safer2.96–8.541.92–6.994.89–15.53
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.4039.85safe53.61–67.1933.07–46.64safer51.94–68.8631.39–48.31
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction497319816safe430–564253–385682–950safer411–582235–403646–985
Pass accuracy %
69%
27%
homeawayprediction70.8166.45safe66.78–74.8462.13–70.77safer65.49–76.1460.82–72.08
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3612.4523.81safe8.53–14.209.50–15.3918.03–29.59safer7.77–14.968.75–16.1416.52–31.10
Offsides
27%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.472.073.54safe0.31–2.630.98–3.161.29–5.79safer0.01–2.930.69–3.450.70–6.38
Yellow cards
30%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.672.183.86safe0.62–2.721.05–3.311.68–6.03safer0.36–2.990.76–3.601.12–6.59
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
28%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.513.395.90safe1.08–3.951.83–4.952.91–8.89safer0.69–4.341.41–5.372.10–9.71
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.36 0.39–2.33 0.14–2.58 | 0.97 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.06 | 2.33 0.51–4.15 0.03–4.63 | 46% 27% 27% |
| Shots on target | 4.94 3.08–6.80 2.59–7.29 | 3.60 1.86–5.34 1.39–5.81 | 8.54 4.94–12.15 3.98–13.10 | 61% 26% |
| Total shots | 16.23 12.31–20.16 11.22–21.25 | 10.92 7.36–14.49 6.40–15.45 | 27.16 19.67–34.64 17.62–36.69 | 82% 13% |
| Shots in box | 9.07 6.13–12.01 5.30–12.84 | 7.55 4.87–10.23 4.13–10.97 | 16.62 11.00–22.25 9.43–23.81 | 60% 31% |
| Blocked shots | 4.95 3.07–6.83 2.52–7.37 | 2.94 1.29–4.59 0.79–5.08 | 7.89 4.35–11.42 3.32–12.46 | 70% 18% |
| Corners | 5.75 3.54–7.96 2.96–8.54 | 4.46 2.46–6.46 1.92–6.99 | 10.21 5.99–14.42 4.89–15.53 | 60% 29% |
| Possession % | 60.40 53.61–67.19 51.94–68.86 | 39.85 33.07–46.64 31.39–48.31 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 497 430–564 411–582 | 319 253–385 235–403 | 816 682–950 646–985 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.81 66.78–74.84 65.49–76.14 | 66.45 62.13–70.77 60.82–72.08 | — | 69% 27% |
| Fouls | 11.36 8.53–14.20 7.77–14.96 | 12.45 9.50–15.39 8.75–16.14 | 23.81 18.03–29.59 16.52–31.10 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.47 0.31–2.63 0.01–2.93 | 2.07 0.98–3.16 0.69–3.45 | 3.54 1.29–5.79 0.70–6.38 | 27% 21% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 1.67 0.62–2.72 0.36–2.99 | 2.18 1.05–3.31 0.76–3.60 | 3.86 1.68–6.03 1.12–6.59 | 30% 21% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.51 1.08–3.95 0.69–4.34 | 3.39 1.83–4.95 1.41–5.37 | 5.90 2.91–8.89 2.10–9.71 | 28% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+