Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
26%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.161.432.60safe0.20–2.130.58–2.290.78–4.42safer0.00–2.380.35–2.520.30–4.90
Shots on target
39%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.024.288.30safe2.15–5.882.54–6.024.69–11.90safer1.66–6.372.07–6.493.74–12.86
Total shots
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7312.4326.16safe9.81–17.668.87–15.9918.68–33.65safer8.72–18.757.91–16.9516.62–35.70
Shots in box
57%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction8.997.7916.77safe6.04–11.935.10–10.4711.15–22.39safer5.21–12.764.37–11.209.58–23.96
Blocked shots
40%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.703.917.61safe1.82–5.582.26–5.574.08–11.15safer1.27–6.121.77–6.063.04–12.18
Corners
42%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction4.925.019.93safe2.70–7.133.01–7.015.72–14.14safer2.13–7.702.48–7.554.61–15.25
Possession %
17%
80%
homeawayprediction42.2457.59safe35.45–49.0350.81–64.37safer33.78–50.7049.13–66.05
Passes
14%
86%
homeawaytotalprediction344475818safe276–411408–541685–952safer258–429391–559649–988
Pass accuracy %
88%
homeawayprediction64.1973.92safe60.16–68.2269.60–78.25safer58.87–69.5168.29–79.56
Fouls
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1811.9623.14safe8.34–14.029.02–14.9117.36–28.92safer7.59–14.788.27–15.6515.86–30.43
Offsides
51%
22%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.981.403.38safe0.82–3.140.30–2.491.13–5.63safer0.52–3.450.01–2.780.54–6.22
Yellow cards
37%
21%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.963.82safe0.81–2.900.84–3.091.64–6.00safer0.54–3.170.54–3.381.08–6.56
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
42%
18%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.752.705.45safe1.32–4.191.14–4.262.46–8.44safer0.93–4.580.72–4.681.65–9.26
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.16 0.20–2.13 0.00–2.38 | 1.43 0.58–2.29 0.35–2.52 | 2.60 0.78–4.42 0.30–4.90 | 31% 26% 43% |
| Shots on target | 4.02 2.15–5.88 1.66–6.37 | 4.28 2.54–6.02 2.07–6.49 | 8.30 4.69–11.90 3.74–12.86 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Total shots | 13.73 9.81–17.66 8.72–18.75 | 12.43 8.87–15.99 7.91–16.95 | 26.16 18.68–33.65 16.62–35.70 | 56% 36% |
| Shots in box | 8.99 6.04–11.93 5.21–12.76 | 7.79 5.10–10.47 4.37–11.20 | 16.77 11.15–22.39 9.58–23.96 | 57% 34% |
| Blocked shots | 3.70 1.82–5.58 1.27–6.12 | 3.91 2.26–5.57 1.77–6.06 | 7.61 4.08–11.15 3.04–12.18 | 40% 15% 46% |
| Corners | 4.92 2.70–7.13 2.13–7.70 | 5.01 3.01–7.01 2.48–7.55 | 9.93 5.72–14.14 4.61–15.25 | 42% 45% |
| Possession % | 42.24 35.45–49.03 33.78–50.70 | 57.59 50.81–64.37 49.13–66.05 | — | 17% 80% |
| Passes | 344 276–411 258–429 | 475 408–541 391–559 | 818 685–952 649–988 | 14% 86% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.19 60.16–68.22 58.87–69.51 | 73.92 69.60–78.25 68.29–79.56 | — | 88% |
| Fouls | 11.18 8.34–14.02 7.59–14.78 | 11.96 9.02–14.91 8.27–15.65 | 23.14 17.36–28.92 15.86–30.43 | 39% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.98 0.82–3.14 0.52–3.45 | 1.40 0.30–2.49 0.01–2.78 | 3.38 1.13–5.63 0.54–6.22 | 51% 22% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.85 0.81–2.90 0.54–3.17 | 1.96 0.84–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 3.82 1.64–6.00 1.08–6.56 | 37% 21% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.75 1.32–4.19 0.93–4.58 | 2.70 1.14–4.26 0.72–4.68 | 5.45 2.46–8.44 1.65–9.26 | 42% 18% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+