Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
25%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.012.65safe0.67–2.610.15–1.860.82–4.47safer0.42–2.860.00–2.090.35–4.95
Shots on target
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.393.088.47safe3.52–7.251.34–4.824.86–12.07safer3.04–7.740.87–5.293.91–13.03
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction15.638.2823.92safe11.71–19.564.72–11.8516.43–31.41safer10.62–20.653.76–12.8114.38–33.46
Shots in box
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction9.666.0415.70safe6.72–12.603.36–8.7210.08–21.32safer5.89–13.432.62–9.468.51–22.89
Blocked shots
67%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.382.707.07safe2.50–6.261.04–4.353.54–10.61safer1.95–6.800.55–4.842.50–11.65
Corners
70%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.973.799.77safe3.76–8.191.79–5.795.55–13.98safer3.19–8.761.26–6.334.45–15.09
Possession %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction54.8244.41safe48.03–61.6137.63–51.20safer46.36–63.2835.96–52.87
Passes
80%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction510407917safe443–577341–474784–1051safer424–595323–491748–1087
Pass accuracy %
59%
36%
homeawayprediction76.4574.14safe72.42–80.4869.82–78.47safer71.13–81.7768.51–79.77
Fouls
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5313.1224.64safe8.69–14.3710.17–16.0618.86–30.43safer7.94–15.129.42–16.8117.36–31.93
Offsides
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.682.023.70safe0.52–2.840.93–3.121.45–5.96safer0.22–3.140.64–3.400.86–6.55
Yellow cards
25%
18%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.792.674.46safe0.74–2.841.54–3.802.28–6.64safer0.48–3.111.25–4.091.72–7.20
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.120.18safe0.00–0.220.00–0.310.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
23%
16%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.123.285.40safe0.68–3.551.72–4.842.41–8.39safer0.29–3.941.30–5.261.59–9.20
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.64 0.67–2.61 0.42–2.86 | 1.01 0.15–1.86 0.00–2.09 | 2.65 0.82–4.47 0.35–4.95 | 52% 25% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.39 3.52–7.25 3.04–7.74 | 3.08 1.34–4.82 0.87–5.29 | 8.47 4.86–12.07 3.91–13.03 | 73% 16% |
| Total shots | 15.63 11.71–19.56 10.62–20.65 | 8.28 4.72–11.85 3.76–12.81 | 23.92 16.43–31.41 14.38–33.46 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 9.66 6.72–12.60 5.89–13.43 | 6.04 3.36–8.72 2.62–9.46 | 15.70 10.08–21.32 8.51–22.89 | 79% 15% |
| Blocked shots | 4.38 2.50–6.26 1.95–6.80 | 2.70 1.04–4.35 0.55–4.84 | 7.07 3.54–10.61 2.50–11.65 | 67% 20% |
| Corners | 5.97 3.76–8.19 3.19–8.76 | 3.79 1.79–5.79 1.26–6.33 | 9.77 5.55–13.98 4.45–15.09 | 70% 19% |
| Possession % | 54.82 48.03–61.61 46.36–63.28 | 44.41 37.63–51.20 35.96–52.87 | — | 71% 25% |
| Passes | 510 443–577 424–595 | 407 341–474 323–491 | 917 784–1051 748–1087 | 80% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.45 72.42–80.48 71.13–81.77 | 74.14 69.82–78.47 68.51–79.77 | — | 59% 36% |
| Fouls | 11.53 8.69–14.37 7.94–15.12 | 13.12 10.17–16.06 9.42–16.81 | 24.64 18.86–30.43 17.36–31.93 | 34% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.22–3.14 | 2.02 0.93–3.12 0.64–3.40 | 3.70 1.45–5.96 0.86–6.55 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.84 0.48–3.11 | 2.67 1.54–3.80 1.25–4.09 | 4.46 2.28–6.64 1.72–7.20 | 25% 18% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.12 0.68–3.55 0.29–3.94 | 3.28 1.72–4.84 1.30–5.26 | 5.40 2.41–8.39 1.59–9.20 | 23% 16% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.