Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
27%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.232.48safe0.28–2.220.38–2.080.66–4.31safer0.03–2.470.15–2.310.18–4.78
Shots on target
41%
15%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.813.907.71safe1.95–5.672.16–5.644.11–11.32safer1.46–6.161.69–6.113.15–12.27
Total shots
33%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3813.0924.47safe7.46–15.319.53–16.6516.98–31.96safer6.37–16.408.57–17.6114.93–34.01
Shots in box
32%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction7.228.5915.81safe4.28–10.165.91–11.2710.19–21.43safer3.45–10.995.17–12.018.62–23.00
Blocked shots
33%
15%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction3.374.037.39safe1.49–5.252.37–5.683.86–10.93safer0.94–5.791.88–6.172.82–11.97
Corners
47%
13%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.874.629.48safe2.65–7.082.62–6.625.27–13.70safer2.08–7.652.08–7.154.16–14.80
Possession %
27%
68%
homeawayprediction46.0255.15safe39.23–52.8148.36–61.93safer37.56–54.4846.69–63.60
Passes
27%
73%
homeawaytotalprediction431504935safe364–499437–570802–1069safer346–517420–588766–1105
Pass accuracy %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction71.7877.54safe67.75–75.8173.22–81.86safer66.46–77.1071.91–83.17
Fouls
55%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8111.6824.49safe9.97–15.658.74–14.6318.71–30.27safer9.22–16.407.99–15.3717.20–31.78
Offsides
54%
21%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.323.38safe0.89–3.210.23–2.421.12–5.63safer0.59–3.510.00–2.710.53–6.22
Yellow cards
34%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.922.224.14safe0.87–2.971.09–3.341.96–6.31safer0.61–3.240.80–3.641.40–6.87
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.090.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.410.00–0.82
GK saves
44%
17%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.822.655.46safe1.38–4.251.09–4.202.47–8.46safer0.99–4.640.67–4.631.66–9.27
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.28–2.22 0.03–2.47 | 1.23 0.38–2.08 0.15–2.31 | 2.48 0.66–4.31 0.18–4.78 | 37% 27% 36% |
| Shots on target | 3.81 1.95–5.67 1.46–6.16 | 3.90 2.16–5.64 1.69–6.11 | 7.71 4.11–11.32 3.15–12.27 | 41% 15% 44% |
| Total shots | 11.38 7.46–15.31 6.37–16.40 | 13.09 9.53–16.65 8.57–17.61 | 24.47 16.98–31.96 14.93–34.01 | 33% 60% |
| Shots in box | 7.22 4.28–10.16 3.45–10.99 | 8.59 5.91–11.27 5.17–12.01 | 15.81 10.19–21.43 8.62–23.00 | 32% 59% |
| Blocked shots | 3.37 1.49–5.25 0.94–5.79 | 4.03 2.37–5.68 1.88–6.17 | 7.39 3.86–10.93 2.82–11.97 | 33% 15% 52% |
| Corners | 4.87 2.65–7.08 2.08–7.65 | 4.62 2.62–6.62 2.08–7.15 | 9.48 5.27–13.70 4.16–14.80 | 47% 13% 40% |
| Possession % | 46.02 39.23–52.81 37.56–54.48 | 55.15 48.36–61.93 46.69–63.60 | — | 27% 68% |
| Passes | 431 364–499 346–517 | 504 437–570 420–588 | 935 802–1069 766–1105 | 27% 73% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.78 67.75–75.81 66.46–77.10 | 77.54 73.22–81.86 71.91–83.17 | — | 21% 75% |
| Fouls | 12.81 9.97–15.65 9.22–16.40 | 11.68 8.74–14.63 7.99–15.37 | 24.49 18.71–30.27 17.20–31.78 | 55% 37% |
| Offsides | 2.05 0.89–3.21 0.59–3.51 | 1.32 0.23–2.42 0.00–2.71 | 3.38 1.12–5.63 0.53–6.22 | 54% 21% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.87–2.97 0.61–3.24 | 2.22 1.09–3.34 0.80–3.64 | 4.14 1.96–6.31 1.40–6.87 | 34% 20% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.82 1.38–4.25 0.99–4.64 | 2.65 1.09–4.20 0.67–4.63 | 5.46 2.47–8.46 1.66–9.27 | 44% 17% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.