Predicted match statistics
Goals
43%
27%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.341.082.42safe0.37–2.300.23–1.930.59–4.24safer0.12–2.550.00–2.160.11–4.72
Shots on target
56%
14%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction4.423.467.88safe2.56–6.281.72–5.204.27–11.48safer2.07–6.771.25–5.673.32–12.44
Total shots
72%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3811.0125.39safe10.45–18.307.45–14.5717.90–32.88safer9.36–19.406.49–15.5315.85–34.93
Shots in box
68%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction9.817.3917.19safe6.87–12.754.71–10.0711.57–22.82safer6.04–13.583.97–10.8010.00–24.38
Blocked shots
52%
15%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.013.377.38safe2.13–5.901.71–5.023.85–10.92safer1.59–6.441.22–5.512.81–11.95
Corners
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.174.1010.27safe3.95–8.382.10–6.106.05–14.48safer3.38–8.951.57–6.634.95–15.59
Possession %
81%
16%
homeawayprediction57.7141.59safe50.92–64.5034.80–48.37safer49.25–66.1733.13–50.04
Passes
92%
homeawaytotalprediction528361889safe461–596295–427756–1023safer443–614277–445720–1059
Pass accuracy %
57%
38%
homeawayprediction68.7466.91safe64.71–72.7762.59–71.23safer63.41–74.0661.28–72.54
Fouls
38%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2011.0721.27safe7.36–13.048.12–14.0115.49–27.05safer6.61–13.797.38–14.7613.98–28.56
Offsides
55%
20%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.231.443.67safe1.07–3.390.35–2.531.42–5.92safer0.77–3.690.06–2.820.83–6.51
Yellow cards
27%
22%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.993.42safe0.37–2.470.86–3.121.24–5.59safer0.11–2.740.57–3.410.68–6.15
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.080.12safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.350.00–0.400.00–0.75
GK saves
32%
17%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.483.065.54safe1.04–3.911.51–4.622.55–8.53safer0.65–4.301.08–5.041.74–9.35
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.34 0.37–2.30 0.12–2.55 | 1.08 0.23–1.93 0.00–2.16 | 2.42 0.59–4.24 0.11–4.72 | 43% 27% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.42 2.56–6.28 2.07–6.77 | 3.46 1.72–5.20 1.25–5.67 | 7.88 4.27–11.48 3.32–12.44 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Total shots | 14.38 10.45–18.30 9.36–19.40 | 11.01 7.45–14.57 6.49–15.53 | 25.39 17.90–32.88 15.85–34.93 | 72% 22% |
| Shots in box | 9.81 6.87–12.75 6.04–13.58 | 7.39 4.71–10.07 3.97–10.80 | 17.19 11.57–22.82 10.00–24.38 | 68% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 4.01 2.13–5.90 1.59–6.44 | 3.37 1.71–5.02 1.22–5.51 | 7.38 3.85–10.92 2.81–11.95 | 52% 15% 33% |
| Corners | 6.17 3.95–8.38 3.38–8.95 | 4.10 2.10–6.10 1.57–6.63 | 10.27 6.05–14.48 4.95–15.59 | 69% 21% |
| Possession % | 57.71 50.92–64.50 49.25–66.17 | 41.59 34.80–48.37 33.13–50.04 | — | 81% 16% |
| Passes | 528 461–596 443–614 | 361 295–427 277–445 | 889 756–1023 720–1059 | 92% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.74 64.71–72.77 63.41–74.06 | 66.91 62.59–71.23 61.28–72.54 | — | 57% 38% |
| Fouls | 10.20 7.36–13.04 6.61–13.79 | 11.07 8.12–14.01 7.38–14.76 | 21.27 15.49–27.05 13.98–28.56 | 38% 53% |
| Offsides | 2.23 1.07–3.39 0.77–3.69 | 1.44 0.35–2.53 0.06–2.82 | 3.67 1.42–5.92 0.83–6.51 | 55% 20% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.11–2.74 | 1.99 0.86–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 3.42 1.24–5.59 0.68–6.15 | 27% 22% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.48 1.04–3.91 0.65–4.30 | 3.06 1.51–4.62 1.08–5.04 | 5.54 2.55–8.53 1.74–9.35 | 32% 17% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.