Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
28%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.092.36safe0.30–2.230.24–1.950.53–4.18safer0.04–2.480.01–2.170.05–4.66
Shots on target
51%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.163.607.76safe2.30–6.021.86–5.354.16–11.37safer1.81–6.511.40–5.813.20–12.32
Total shots
57%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6711.2823.96safe8.75–16.607.72–14.8516.47–31.44safer7.65–17.696.76–15.8114.42–33.49
Shots in box
43%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction7.958.1816.13safe5.01–10.895.50–10.8610.51–21.75safer4.18–11.724.76–11.608.94–23.32
Blocked shots
51%
15%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.913.357.27safe2.03–5.801.70–5.013.73–10.80safer1.49–6.341.21–5.502.70–11.84
Corners
55%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.394.479.86safe3.18–7.602.47–6.475.65–14.07safer2.60–8.181.94–7.004.54–15.18
Possession %
60%
36%
homeawayprediction53.3748.10safe46.58–60.1641.31–54.88safer44.91–61.8339.64–56.55
Passes
69%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction509448957safe442–576381–514823–1091safer424–595364–532787–1126
Pass accuracy %
53%
42%
homeawayprediction73.2472.13safe69.21–77.2767.80–76.45safer67.92–78.5666.49–77.76
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1511.8922.04safe7.31–12.988.95–14.8416.26–27.82safer6.55–13.748.20–15.5914.75–29.33
Offsides
47%
23%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.343.07safe0.57–2.890.25–2.430.82–5.33safer0.27–3.190.00–2.720.23–5.92
Yellow cards
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.822.023.84safe0.77–2.870.89–3.151.66–6.02safer0.50–3.130.60–3.441.10–6.58
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
36%
18%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.482.785.26safe1.05–3.921.22–4.342.27–8.26safer0.66–4.310.80–4.761.46–9.07
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.30–2.23 0.04–2.48 | 1.09 0.24–1.95 0.01–2.17 | 2.36 0.53–4.18 0.05–4.66 | 40% 28% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.16 2.30–6.02 1.81–6.51 | 3.60 1.86–5.35 1.40–5.81 | 7.76 4.16–11.37 3.20–12.32 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Total shots | 12.67 8.75–16.60 7.65–17.69 | 11.28 7.72–14.85 6.76–15.81 | 23.96 16.47–31.44 14.42–33.49 | 57% 35% |
| Shots in box | 7.95 5.01–10.89 4.18–11.72 | 8.18 5.50–10.86 4.76–11.60 | 16.13 10.51–21.75 8.94–23.32 | 43% 47% |
| Blocked shots | 3.91 2.03–5.80 1.49–6.34 | 3.35 1.70–5.01 1.21–5.50 | 7.27 3.73–10.80 2.70–11.84 | 51% 15% 35% |
| Corners | 5.39 3.18–7.60 2.60–8.18 | 4.47 2.47–6.47 1.94–7.00 | 9.86 5.65–14.07 4.54–15.18 | 55% 32% |
| Possession % | 53.37 46.58–60.16 44.91–61.83 | 48.10 41.31–54.88 39.64–56.55 | — | 60% 36% |
| Passes | 509 442–576 424–595 | 448 381–514 364–532 | 957 823–1091 787–1126 | 69% 30% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.24 69.21–77.27 67.92–78.56 | 72.13 67.80–76.45 66.49–77.76 | — | 53% 42% |
| Fouls | 10.15 7.31–12.98 6.55–13.74 | 11.89 8.95–14.84 8.20–15.59 | 22.04 16.26–27.82 14.75–29.33 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.57–2.89 0.27–3.19 | 1.34 0.25–2.43 0.00–2.72 | 3.07 0.82–5.33 0.23–5.92 | 47% 23% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.82 0.77–2.87 0.50–3.13 | 2.02 0.89–3.15 0.60–3.44 | 3.84 1.66–6.02 1.10–6.58 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.48 1.05–3.92 0.66–4.31 | 2.78 1.22–4.34 0.80–4.76 | 5.26 2.27–8.26 1.46–9.07 | 36% 18% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.