Championship·Regular Season - 12·
Championship·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
21%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.042.083.11safe0.07–2.001.22–2.931.29–4.93safer0.00–2.260.99–3.160.81–5.41
Shots on target
25%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction3.945.529.46safe2.08–5.813.78–7.265.86–13.07safer1.59–6.303.31–7.734.90–14.02
Total shots
28%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7214.1125.83safe7.79–15.6410.55–17.6718.34–33.31safer6.70–16.739.59–18.6316.29–35.36
Shots in box
16%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction7.1310.8517.98safe4.19–10.078.17–13.5312.35–23.60safer3.36–10.907.43–14.2710.79–25.17
Blocked shots
32%
16%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.893.566.46safe1.01–4.781.91–5.222.92–9.99safer0.47–5.321.42–5.711.89–11.03
Corners
26%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction4.516.0310.54safe2.29–6.724.03–8.036.32–14.75safer1.72–7.293.50–8.565.22–15.86
Possession %
14%
84%
homeawayprediction41.3058.85safe34.51–48.0952.06–65.63safer32.84–49.7650.39–67.31
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction353509862safe286–420443–576729–996safer268–439425–593693–1032
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction64.3475.46safe60.31–68.3771.13–79.78safer59.01–69.6669.82–81.09
Fouls
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2910.0921.38safe8.45–14.127.14–13.0315.59–27.16safer7.69–14.886.40–13.7814.09–28.66
Offsides
79%
homeawaytotalprediction1.744.205.94safe0.58–2.903.11–5.293.69–8.19safer0.28–3.202.82–5.583.10–8.78
Yellow cards
44%
22%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.673.57safe0.85–2.950.54–2.801.40–5.75safer0.59–3.220.25–3.090.84–6.31
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
53%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.642.906.54safe2.20–5.071.35–4.463.55–9.53safer1.81–5.460.92–4.892.74–10.35
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.04 0.07–2.00 0.00–2.26 | 2.08 1.22–2.93 0.99–3.16 | 3.11 1.29–4.93 0.81–5.41 | 18% 21% 61% |
| Shots on target | 3.94 2.08–5.81 1.59–6.30 | 5.52 3.78–7.26 3.31–7.73 | 9.46 5.86–13.07 4.90–14.02 | 25% 64% |
| Total shots | 11.72 7.79–15.64 6.70–16.73 | 14.11 10.55–17.67 9.59–18.63 | 25.83 18.34–33.31 16.29–35.36 | 28% 65% |
| Shots in box | 7.13 4.19–10.07 3.36–10.90 | 10.85 8.17–13.53 7.43–14.27 | 17.98 12.35–23.60 10.79–25.17 | 16% 78% |
| Blocked shots | 2.89 1.01–4.78 0.47–5.32 | 3.56 1.91–5.22 1.42–5.71 | 6.46 2.92–9.99 1.89–11.03 | 32% 16% 52% |
| Corners | 4.51 2.29–6.72 1.72–7.29 | 6.03 4.03–8.03 3.50–8.56 | 10.54 6.32–14.75 5.22–15.86 | 26% 62% |
| Possession % | 41.30 34.51–48.09 32.84–49.76 | 58.85 52.06–65.63 50.39–67.31 | — | 14% 84% |
| Passes | 353 286–420 268–439 | 509 443–576 425–593 | 862 729–996 693–1032 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.34 60.31–68.37 59.01–69.66 | 75.46 71.13–79.78 69.82–81.09 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 11.29 8.45–14.12 7.69–14.88 | 10.09 7.14–13.03 6.40–13.78 | 21.38 15.59–27.16 14.09–28.66 | 56% 36% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 4.20 3.11–5.29 2.82–5.58 | 5.94 3.69–8.19 3.10–8.78 | 79% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.59–3.22 | 1.67 0.54–2.80 0.25–3.09 | 3.57 1.40–5.75 0.84–6.31 | 44% 22% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.64 2.20–5.07 1.81–5.46 | 2.90 1.35–4.46 0.92–4.89 | 6.54 3.55–9.53 2.74–10.35 | 53% 15% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+