Championship·Regular Season - 24·
Championship·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
75%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.590.853.44safe1.62–3.560.00–1.701.62–5.26safer1.37–3.810.00–1.931.14–5.74
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction6.543.329.86safe4.67–8.401.58–5.076.25–13.46safer4.18–8.891.11–5.535.30–14.42
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction16.879.7426.61safe12.94–20.796.18–13.3019.12–34.09safer11.85–21.885.22–14.2617.07–36.15
Shots in box
92%
homeawaytotalprediction12.436.0118.44safe9.49–15.383.33–8.6912.82–24.07safer8.66–16.212.59–9.4311.25–25.63
Blocked shots
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.832.997.83safe2.95–6.721.34–4.654.29–11.36safer2.41–7.260.85–5.143.26–12.40
Corners
85%
homeawaytotalprediction7.383.4810.86safe5.17–9.601.48–5.486.65–15.08safer4.60–10.170.95–6.015.54–16.18
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction62.8837.58safe56.09–69.6730.79–44.36safer54.42–71.3429.12–46.03
Passes
98%
homeawaytotalprediction588340928safe521–655273–406794–1061safer503–674256–424758–1097
Pass accuracy %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction75.8168.35safe71.78–79.8464.02–72.67safer70.49–81.1362.71–73.98
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8211.7621.57safe6.98–12.668.81–14.7015.79–27.36safer6.22–13.418.06–15.4514.29–28.86
Offsides
72%
13%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction3.571.755.33safe2.41–4.730.66–2.853.07–7.58safer2.11–5.030.37–3.132.48–8.17
Yellow cards
21%
23%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.021.812.82safe0.00–2.070.68–2.940.65–5.00safer0.00–2.330.39–3.230.09–5.56
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.13safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.350.00–0.410.00–0.76
GK saves
19%
13%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.333.976.30safe0.89–3.772.41–5.523.30–9.29safer0.51–4.151.99–5.952.49–10.10
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.59 1.62–3.56 1.37–3.81 | 0.85 0.00–1.70 0.00–1.93 | 3.44 1.62–5.26 1.14–5.74 | 75% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.54 4.67–8.40 4.18–8.89 | 3.32 1.58–5.07 1.11–5.53 | 9.86 6.25–13.46 5.30–14.42 | 81% |
| Total shots | 16.87 12.94–20.79 11.85–21.88 | 9.74 6.18–13.30 5.22–14.26 | 26.61 19.12–34.09 17.07–36.15 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 12.43 9.49–15.38 8.66–16.21 | 6.01 3.33–8.69 2.59–9.43 | 18.44 12.82–24.07 11.25–25.63 | 92% |
| Blocked shots | 4.83 2.95–6.72 2.41–7.26 | 2.99 1.34–4.65 0.85–5.14 | 7.83 4.29–11.36 3.26–12.40 | 68% 20% |
| Corners | 7.38 5.17–9.60 4.60–10.17 | 3.48 1.48–5.48 0.95–6.01 | 10.86 6.65–15.08 5.54–16.18 | 85% |
| Possession % | 62.88 56.09–69.67 54.42–71.34 | 37.58 30.79–44.36 29.12–46.03 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 588 521–655 503–674 | 340 273–406 256–424 | 928 794–1061 758–1097 | 98% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.81 71.78–79.84 70.49–81.13 | 68.35 64.02–72.67 62.71–73.98 | — | 82% 15% |
| Fouls | 9.82 6.98–12.66 6.22–13.41 | 11.76 8.81–14.70 8.06–15.45 | 21.57 15.79–27.36 14.29–28.86 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 3.57 2.41–4.73 2.11–5.03 | 1.75 0.66–2.85 0.37–3.13 | 5.33 3.07–7.58 2.48–8.17 | 72% 13% 15% |
| Yellow cards | 1.02 0.00–2.07 0.00–2.33 | 1.81 0.68–2.94 0.39–3.23 | 2.82 0.65–5.00 0.09–5.56 | 21% 23% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.33 0.89–3.77 0.51–4.15 | 3.97 2.41–5.52 1.99–5.95 | 6.30 3.30–9.29 2.49–10.10 | 19% 13% 67% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.