Championship·Regular Season - 12·
Championship·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
26%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.262.68safe0.45–2.390.41–2.120.86–4.50safer0.20–2.640.18–2.340.38–4.98
Shots on target
49%
13%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.764.299.06safe2.90–6.632.55–6.045.45–12.66safer2.41–7.122.09–6.504.50–13.62
Total shots
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction14.5112.6327.14safe10.59–18.449.07–16.1919.65–34.63safer9.50–19.538.11–17.1517.60–36.68
Shots in box
52%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction9.548.8318.37safe6.60–12.486.15–11.5112.75–24.00safer5.77–13.315.41–12.2511.18–25.56
Blocked shots
53%
14%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.253.517.76safe2.37–6.141.86–5.164.23–11.30safer1.83–6.681.36–5.653.19–12.33
Corners
58%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.764.6010.36safe3.55–7.972.60–6.606.15–14.58safer2.97–8.552.07–7.145.04–15.68
Possession %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction55.9543.86safe49.16–62.7437.07–50.64safer47.49–64.4135.40–52.31
Passes
85%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction463341804safe396–530274–407670–937safer378–548257–425634–973
Pass accuracy %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction71.4068.17safe67.37–75.4363.85–72.50safer66.08–76.7262.54–73.81
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction11.6213.4225.04safe8.78–14.4610.48–16.3719.26–30.83safer8.03–15.219.73–17.1217.76–32.33
Offsides
33%
18%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.362.865.21safe1.20–3.521.76–3.952.96–7.47safer0.89–3.821.48–4.242.37–8.06
Yellow cards
36%
19%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.252.484.73safe1.20–3.301.36–3.612.56–6.91safer0.93–3.561.06–3.902.00–7.47
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.110.22safe0.00–0.260.00–0.300.00–0.56safer0.00–0.410.00–0.430.00–0.85
GK saves
36%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.873.246.10safe1.43–4.301.68–4.793.11–9.09safer1.04–4.691.26–5.222.30–9.91
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.42 0.45–2.39 0.20–2.64 | 1.26 0.41–2.12 0.18–2.34 | 2.68 0.86–4.50 0.38–4.98 | 41% 26% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.76 2.90–6.63 2.41–7.12 | 4.29 2.55–6.04 2.09–6.50 | 9.06 5.45–12.66 4.50–13.62 | 49% 13% 37% |
| Total shots | 14.51 10.59–18.44 9.50–19.53 | 12.63 9.07–16.19 8.11–17.15 | 27.14 19.65–34.63 17.60–36.68 | 60% 32% |
| Shots in box | 9.54 6.60–12.48 5.77–13.31 | 8.83 6.15–11.51 5.41–12.25 | 18.37 12.75–24.00 11.18–25.56 | 52% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 4.25 2.37–6.14 1.83–6.68 | 3.51 1.86–5.16 1.36–5.65 | 7.76 4.23–11.30 3.19–12.33 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Corners | 5.76 3.55–7.97 2.97–8.55 | 4.60 2.60–6.60 2.07–7.14 | 10.36 6.15–14.58 5.04–15.68 | 58% 30% |
| Possession % | 55.95 49.16–62.74 47.49–64.41 | 43.86 37.07–50.64 35.40–52.31 | — | 74% 22% |
| Passes | 463 396–530 378–548 | 341 274–407 257–425 | 804 670–937 634–973 | 85% 15% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.40 67.37–75.43 66.08–76.72 | 68.17 63.85–72.50 62.54–73.81 | — | 64% 32% |
| Fouls | 11.62 8.78–14.46 8.03–15.21 | 13.42 10.48–16.37 9.73–17.12 | 25.04 19.26–30.83 17.76–32.33 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 2.36 1.20–3.52 0.89–3.82 | 2.86 1.76–3.95 1.48–4.24 | 5.21 2.96–7.47 2.37–8.06 | 33% 18% 50% |
| Yellow cards | 2.25 1.20–3.30 0.93–3.56 | 2.48 1.36–3.61 1.06–3.90 | 4.73 2.56–6.91 2.00–7.47 | 36% 19% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.87 1.43–4.30 1.04–4.69 | 3.24 1.68–4.79 1.26–5.22 | 6.10 3.11–9.09 2.30–9.91 | 36% 16% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.