Championship·Regular Season - 24·
Championship·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
25%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.611.162.77safe0.65–2.580.31–2.020.95–4.60safer0.39–2.830.08–2.240.47–5.08
Shots on target
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.363.959.32safe3.50–7.232.21–5.695.71–12.92safer3.01–7.721.74–6.164.76–13.88
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction15.6411.5527.19safe11.72–19.567.99–15.1119.70–34.68safer10.62–20.667.03–16.0717.65–36.73
Shots in box
70%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction10.367.5817.94safe7.41–13.304.90–10.2712.32–23.56safer6.58–14.134.17–11.0010.75–25.13
Blocked shots
49%
15%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.973.507.47safe2.09–5.861.85–5.153.94–11.01safer1.55–6.401.36–5.652.90–12.04
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.054.3210.37safe3.84–8.272.32–6.326.15–14.58safer3.26–8.841.78–6.855.05–15.69
Possession %
39%
57%
homeawayprediction48.5752.47safe41.78–55.3645.69–59.26safer40.11–57.0344.02–60.93
Passes
36%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction395438833safe328–462371–504699–967safer310–480354–522664–1002
Pass accuracy %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction66.9772.30safe62.94–70.9967.97–76.62safer61.64–72.2966.66–77.93
Fouls
53%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0912.2625.35safe10.25–15.929.31–15.2019.56–31.13safer9.49–16.688.57–15.9518.06–32.63
Offsides
47%
18%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.792.425.21safe1.63–3.951.33–3.512.96–7.46safer1.33–4.251.04–3.802.37–8.05
Yellow cards
38%
20%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.082.194.28safe1.03–3.131.06–3.322.10–6.45safer0.77–3.400.77–3.611.54–7.01
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.130.21safe0.00–0.240.00–0.310.00–0.55safer0.00–0.390.00–0.450.00–0.84
GK saves
30%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.623.426.03safe1.18–4.051.86–4.973.04–9.03safer0.79–4.441.44–5.402.23–9.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.61 0.65–2.58 0.39–2.83 | 1.16 0.31–2.02 0.08–2.24 | 2.77 0.95–4.60 0.47–5.08 | 48% 25% 27% |
| Shots on target | 5.36 3.50–7.23 3.01–7.72 | 3.95 2.21–5.69 1.74–6.16 | 9.32 5.71–12.92 4.76–13.88 | 62% 26% |
| Total shots | 15.64 11.72–19.56 10.62–20.66 | 11.55 7.99–15.11 7.03–16.07 | 27.19 19.70–34.68 17.65–36.73 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 10.36 7.41–13.30 6.58–14.13 | 7.58 4.90–10.27 4.17–11.00 | 17.94 12.32–23.56 10.75–25.13 | 70% 22% |
| Blocked shots | 3.97 2.09–5.86 1.55–6.40 | 3.50 1.85–5.15 1.36–5.65 | 7.47 3.94–11.01 2.90–12.04 | 49% 15% 36% |
| Corners | 6.05 3.84–8.27 3.26–8.84 | 4.32 2.32–6.32 1.78–6.85 | 10.37 6.15–14.58 5.05–15.69 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 48.57 41.78–55.36 40.11–57.03 | 52.47 45.69–59.26 44.02–60.93 | — | 39% 57% |
| Passes | 395 328–462 310–480 | 438 371–504 354–522 | 833 699–967 664–1002 | 36% 64% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.97 62.94–70.99 61.64–72.29 | 72.30 67.97–76.62 66.66–77.93 | — | 23% 73% |
| Fouls | 13.09 10.25–15.92 9.49–16.68 | 12.26 9.31–15.20 8.57–15.95 | 25.35 19.56–31.13 18.06–32.63 | 53% 40% |
| Offsides | 2.79 1.63–3.95 1.33–4.25 | 2.42 1.33–3.51 1.04–3.80 | 5.21 2.96–7.46 2.37–8.05 | 47% 18% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 2.08 1.03–3.13 0.77–3.40 | 2.19 1.06–3.32 0.77–3.61 | 4.28 2.10–6.45 1.54–7.01 | 38% 20% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.21 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.62 1.18–4.05 0.79–4.44 | 3.42 1.86–4.97 1.44–5.40 | 6.03 3.04–9.03 2.23–9.84 | 30% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.