Predicted match statistics
Goals
21%
25%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction0.921.652.56safe0.00–1.890.79–2.500.74–4.39safer0.00–2.140.56–2.730.26–4.87
Shots on target
22%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.214.918.12safe1.34–5.073.17–6.664.52–11.73safer0.85–5.562.71–7.123.56–12.68
Total shots
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3313.4623.80safe6.41–14.269.90–17.0216.31–31.28safer5.32–15.358.94–17.9814.26–33.33
Shots in box
25%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction6.788.9115.69safe3.84–9.726.23–11.5910.07–21.31safer3.01–10.555.49–12.338.50–22.88
Blocked shots
17%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction2.554.547.09safe0.67–4.442.89–6.193.56–10.63safer0.13–4.982.40–6.692.52–11.67
Corners
28%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction4.345.7010.03safe2.12–6.553.70–7.705.82–14.25safer1.55–7.123.17–8.234.71–15.36
Possession %
92%
homeawayprediction37.7062.63safe30.91–44.4955.85–69.41safer29.24–46.1654.17–71.09
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction292510802safe225–359443–576668–935safer207–377426–594632–971
Pass accuracy %
98%
homeawayprediction58.4675.36safe54.43–62.4971.03–79.68safer53.13–63.7869.72–80.99
Fouls
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0710.4022.47safe9.24–14.917.45–13.3416.69–28.25safer8.48–15.676.71–14.0915.18–29.76
Offsides
72%
13%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction3.591.735.32safe2.43–4.750.64–2.823.06–7.57safer2.13–5.050.35–3.112.47–8.16
Yellow cards
43%
21%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.031.833.86safe0.98–3.080.70–2.961.68–6.04safer0.71–3.340.41–3.251.13–6.60
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
54%
17%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.002.265.26safe1.57–4.440.70–3.822.27–8.25safer1.18–4.830.28–4.241.46–9.07
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.92 0.00–1.89 0.00–2.14 | 1.65 0.79–2.50 0.56–2.73 | 2.56 0.74–4.39 0.26–4.87 | 21% 25% 55% |
| Shots on target | 3.21 1.34–5.07 0.85–5.56 | 4.91 3.17–6.66 2.71–7.12 | 8.12 4.52–11.73 3.56–12.68 | 22% 66% |
| Total shots | 10.33 6.41–14.26 5.32–15.35 | 13.46 9.90–17.02 8.94–17.98 | 23.80 16.31–31.28 14.26–33.33 | 23% 71% |
| Shots in box | 6.78 3.84–9.72 3.01–10.55 | 8.91 6.23–11.59 5.49–12.33 | 15.69 10.07–21.31 8.50–22.88 | 25% 66% |
| Blocked shots | 2.55 0.67–4.44 0.13–4.98 | 4.54 2.89–6.19 2.40–6.69 | 7.09 3.56–10.63 2.52–11.67 | 17% 71% |
| Corners | 4.34 2.12–6.55 1.55–7.12 | 5.70 3.70–7.70 3.17–8.23 | 10.03 5.82–14.25 4.71–15.36 | 28% 61% |
| Possession % | 37.70 30.91–44.49 29.24–46.16 | 62.63 55.85–69.41 54.17–71.09 | — | 92% |
| Passes | 292 225–359 207–377 | 510 443–576 426–594 | 802 668–935 632–971 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 58.46 54.43–62.49 53.13–63.78 | 75.36 71.03–79.68 69.72–80.99 | — | 98% |
| Fouls | 12.07 9.24–14.91 8.48–15.67 | 10.40 7.45–13.34 6.71–14.09 | 22.47 16.69–28.25 15.18–29.76 | 60% 32% |
| Offsides | 3.59 2.43–4.75 2.13–5.05 | 1.73 0.64–2.82 0.35–3.11 | 5.32 3.06–7.57 2.47–8.16 | 72% 13% 15% |
| Yellow cards | 2.03 0.98–3.08 0.71–3.34 | 1.83 0.70–2.96 0.41–3.25 | 3.86 1.68–6.04 1.13–6.60 | 43% 21% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.00 1.57–4.44 1.18–4.83 | 2.26 0.70–3.82 0.28–4.24 | 5.26 2.27–8.25 1.46–9.07 | 54% 17% 29% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.