Predicted match statistics
Goals
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.100.732.83safe1.13–3.070.00–1.591.01–4.66safer0.88–3.320.00–1.820.53–5.14
Shots on target
81%
homeawaytotalprediction5.852.838.68safe3.99–7.721.08–4.575.07–12.28safer3.50–8.210.62–5.034.12–13.24
Total shots
94%
homeawaytotalprediction16.047.9523.99safe12.11–19.964.39–11.5116.50–31.47safer11.02–21.053.43–12.4714.45–33.53
Shots in box
88%
homeawaytotalprediction10.955.7516.70safe8.00–13.893.07–8.4311.08–22.32safer7.17–14.722.33–9.179.51–23.89
Blocked shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.072.067.13safe3.19–6.960.41–3.713.60–10.67safer2.65–7.500.00–4.212.56–11.71
Corners
83%
homeawaytotalprediction7.073.5110.57safe4.85–9.281.51–5.516.36–14.79safer4.28–9.860.97–6.045.25–15.90
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction66.0034.02safe59.20–72.7927.24–40.81safer57.54–74.4625.56–42.48
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction580264844safe513–648197–330710–978safer495–666180–348675–1014
Pass accuracy %
91%
homeawayprediction74.3663.63safe70.33–78.3959.30–67.95safer69.04–79.6858.00–69.26
Fouls
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2312.6322.86safe7.39–13.079.69–15.5817.08–28.65safer6.64–13.828.94–16.3315.58–30.15
Offsides
15%
14%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction1.693.435.12safe0.53–2.852.34–4.522.86–7.37safer0.23–3.152.05–4.812.27–7.96
Yellow cards
20%
20%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.252.253.50safe0.20–2.301.12–3.381.32–5.68safer0.00–2.570.83–3.670.77–6.24
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
16%
13%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction1.903.675.56safe0.46–3.332.11–5.232.57–8.56safer0.07–3.721.69–5.651.76–9.37
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.10 1.13–3.07 0.88–3.32 | 0.73 0.00–1.59 0.00–1.82 | 2.83 1.01–4.66 0.53–5.14 | 69% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.85 3.99–7.72 3.50–8.21 | 2.83 1.08–4.57 0.62–5.03 | 8.68 5.07–12.28 4.12–13.24 | 81% |
| Total shots | 16.04 12.11–19.96 11.02–21.05 | 7.95 4.39–11.51 3.43–12.47 | 23.99 16.50–31.47 14.45–33.53 | 94% |
| Shots in box | 10.95 8.00–13.89 7.17–14.72 | 5.75 3.07–8.43 2.33–9.17 | 16.70 11.08–22.32 9.51–23.89 | 88% |
| Blocked shots | 5.07 3.19–6.96 2.65–7.50 | 2.06 0.41–3.71 0.00–4.21 | 7.13 3.60–10.67 2.56–11.71 | 83% |
| Corners | 7.07 4.85–9.28 4.28–9.86 | 3.51 1.51–5.51 0.97–6.04 | 10.57 6.36–14.79 5.25–15.90 | 83% |
| Possession % | 66.00 59.20–72.79 57.54–74.46 | 34.02 27.24–40.81 25.56–42.48 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 580 513–648 495–666 | 264 197–330 180–348 | 844 710–978 675–1014 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 74.36 70.33–78.39 69.04–79.68 | 63.63 59.30–67.95 58.00–69.26 | — | 91% |
| Fouls | 10.23 7.39–13.07 6.64–13.82 | 12.63 9.69–15.58 8.94–16.33 | 22.86 17.08–28.65 15.58–30.15 | 27% 65% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.15 | 3.43 2.34–4.52 2.05–4.81 | 5.12 2.86–7.37 2.27–7.96 | 15% 14% 71% |
| Yellow cards | 1.25 0.20–2.30 0.00–2.57 | 2.25 1.12–3.38 0.83–3.67 | 3.50 1.32–5.68 0.77–6.24 | 20% 20% 60% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 1.90 0.46–3.33 0.07–3.72 | 3.67 2.11–5.23 1.69–5.65 | 5.56 2.57–8.56 1.76–9.37 | 16% 13% 70% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+