Championship·Regular Season - 12·
Championship·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
25%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.591.132.72safe0.62–2.550.28–1.980.89–4.54safer0.37–2.800.05–2.210.41–5.02
Shots on target
52%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.233.617.84safe2.37–6.091.87–5.354.24–11.45safer1.88–6.581.40–5.823.28–12.40
Total shots
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction14.1211.5925.71safe10.19–18.048.03–15.1518.22–33.19safer9.10–19.147.07–16.1116.17–35.25
Shots in box
55%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction8.837.7816.61safe5.89–11.785.10–10.4610.99–22.23safer5.06–12.604.36–11.209.42–23.80
Blocked shots
55%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.453.588.03safe2.57–6.331.93–5.234.49–11.56safer2.02–6.871.44–5.733.46–12.60
Corners
65%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction6.224.4410.66safe4.01–8.442.44–6.446.44–14.87safer3.43–9.011.90–6.975.34–15.98
Possession %
73%
23%
homeawayprediction55.6844.45safe48.89–62.4737.67–51.24safer47.22–64.1436.00–52.91
Passes
84%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction444325769safe377–511259–392636–903safer359–530241–409600–939
Pass accuracy %
50%
45%
homeawayprediction67.3166.90safe63.28–71.3462.58–71.22safer61.99–72.6361.27–72.53
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7412.6023.34safe7.90–13.589.65–15.5417.56–29.12safer7.14–14.338.91–16.2916.05–30.62
Offsides
29%
20%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.702.293.98safe0.54–2.861.19–3.381.73–6.24safer0.23–3.160.91–3.671.14–6.83
Yellow cards
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.903.53safe0.58–2.680.77–3.031.35–5.71safer0.31–2.950.48–3.320.79–6.26
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
32%
17%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.382.965.34safe0.95–3.821.40–4.512.35–8.33safer0.56–4.210.97–4.941.53–9.14
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.59 0.62–2.55 0.37–2.80 | 1.13 0.28–1.98 0.05–2.21 | 2.72 0.89–4.54 0.41–5.02 | 48% 25% 27% |
| Shots on target | 4.23 2.37–6.09 1.88–6.58 | 3.61 1.87–5.35 1.40–5.82 | 7.84 4.24–11.45 3.28–12.40 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Total shots | 14.12 10.19–18.04 9.10–19.14 | 11.59 8.03–15.15 7.07–16.11 | 25.71 18.22–33.19 16.17–35.25 | 66% 27% |
| Shots in box | 8.83 5.89–11.78 5.06–12.60 | 7.78 5.10–10.46 4.36–11.20 | 16.61 10.99–22.23 9.42–23.80 | 55% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 4.45 2.57–6.33 2.02–6.87 | 3.58 1.93–5.23 1.44–5.73 | 8.03 4.49–11.56 3.46–12.60 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Corners | 6.22 4.01–8.44 3.43–9.01 | 4.44 2.44–6.44 1.90–6.97 | 10.66 6.44–14.87 5.34–15.98 | 65% 24% |
| Possession % | 55.68 48.89–62.47 47.22–64.14 | 44.45 37.67–51.24 36.00–52.91 | — | 73% 23% |
| Passes | 444 377–511 359–530 | 325 259–392 241–409 | 769 636–903 600–939 | 84% 16% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.31 63.28–71.34 61.99–72.63 | 66.90 62.58–71.22 61.27–72.53 | — | 50% 45% |
| Fouls | 10.74 7.90–13.58 7.14–14.33 | 12.60 9.65–15.54 8.91–16.29 | 23.34 17.56–29.12 16.05–30.62 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.54–2.86 0.23–3.16 | 2.29 1.19–3.38 0.91–3.67 | 3.98 1.73–6.24 1.14–6.83 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 1.63 0.58–2.68 0.31–2.95 | 1.90 0.77–3.03 0.48–3.32 | 3.53 1.35–5.71 0.79–6.26 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.38 0.95–3.82 0.56–4.21 | 2.96 1.40–4.51 0.97–4.94 | 5.34 2.35–8.33 1.53–9.14 | 32% 17% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+