Championship·Regular Season - 24·
Championship·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
27%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.282.52safe0.27–2.200.43–2.140.70–4.34safer0.02–2.460.20–2.370.22–4.82
Shots on target
45%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.073.887.95safe2.21–5.932.13–5.624.34–11.55safer1.72–6.421.67–6.083.38–12.51
Total shots
60%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5511.7825.33safe9.62–17.478.22–15.3417.84–32.82safer8.53–18.567.26–16.3015.79–34.87
Shots in box
60%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction9.678.1317.81safe6.73–12.625.45–10.8112.18–23.43safer5.90–13.444.71–11.5510.62–25.00
Blocked shots
43%
15%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.533.487.00safe1.65–5.411.82–5.133.47–10.54safer1.10–5.951.33–5.622.43–11.58
Corners
53%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.674.8810.54safe3.45–7.882.88–6.886.33–14.76safer2.88–8.452.34–7.415.22–15.86
Possession %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction47.2353.44safe40.43–54.0246.66–60.23safer38.77–55.6944.98–61.90
Passes
37%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction371409780safe304–438343–476646–914safer286–456325–493611–949
Pass accuracy %
15%
81%
homeawayprediction61.8769.26safe57.85–65.9064.94–73.59safer56.55–67.2063.63–74.89
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0911.7623.86safe9.26–14.938.82–14.7118.08–29.64safer8.50–15.698.07–15.4616.57–31.15
Offsides
52%
20%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.351.714.06safe1.19–3.510.61–2.801.80–6.31safer0.89–3.810.33–3.091.22–6.90
Yellow cards
34%
23%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.793.34safe0.51–2.600.66–2.921.16–5.52safer0.24–2.870.37–3.210.61–6.08
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.100.16safe0.00–0.210.00–0.290.00–0.50safer0.00–0.360.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
40%
18%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.682.765.44safe1.25–4.121.20–4.322.45–8.44safer0.86–4.510.78–4.741.64–9.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.24 0.27–2.20 0.02–2.46 | 1.28 0.43–2.14 0.20–2.37 | 2.52 0.70–4.34 0.22–4.82 | 35% 27% 38% |
| Shots on target | 4.07 2.21–5.93 1.72–6.42 | 3.88 2.13–5.62 1.67–6.08 | 7.95 4.34–11.55 3.38–12.51 | 45% 14% 40% |
| Total shots | 13.55 9.62–17.47 8.53–18.56 | 11.78 8.22–15.34 7.26–16.30 | 25.33 17.84–32.82 15.79–34.87 | 60% 33% |
| Shots in box | 9.67 6.73–12.62 5.90–13.44 | 8.13 5.45–10.81 4.71–11.55 | 17.81 12.18–23.43 10.62–25.00 | 60% 31% |
| Blocked shots | 3.53 1.65–5.41 1.10–5.95 | 3.48 1.82–5.13 1.33–5.62 | 7.00 3.47–10.54 2.43–11.58 | 43% 15% 42% |
| Corners | 5.67 3.45–7.88 2.88–8.45 | 4.88 2.88–6.88 2.34–7.41 | 10.54 6.33–14.76 5.22–15.86 | 53% 34% |
| Possession % | 47.23 40.43–54.02 38.77–55.69 | 53.44 46.66–60.23 44.98–61.90 | — | 33% 62% |
| Passes | 371 304–438 286–456 | 409 343–476 325–493 | 780 646–914 611–949 | 37% 62% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.87 57.85–65.90 56.55–67.20 | 69.26 64.94–73.59 63.63–74.89 | — | 15% 81% |
| Fouls | 12.09 9.26–14.93 8.50–15.69 | 11.76 8.82–14.71 8.07–15.46 | 23.86 18.08–29.64 16.57–31.15 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 2.35 1.19–3.51 0.89–3.81 | 1.71 0.61–2.80 0.33–3.09 | 4.06 1.80–6.31 1.22–6.90 | 52% 20% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.51–2.60 0.24–2.87 | 1.79 0.66–2.92 0.37–3.21 | 3.34 1.16–5.52 0.61–6.08 | 34% 23% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.68 1.25–4.12 0.86–4.51 | 2.76 1.20–4.32 0.78–4.74 | 5.44 2.45–8.44 1.64–9.25 | 40% 18% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.