Predicted match statistics
Goals
33%
26%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.392.61safe0.25–2.190.54–2.250.79–4.43safer0.00–2.440.31–2.470.31–4.91
Shots on target
39%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.984.258.23safe2.11–5.842.51–5.994.62–11.83safer1.63–6.332.04–6.463.66–12.79
Total shots
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1212.7724.89safe8.20–16.059.21–16.3317.41–32.38safer7.11–17.148.25–17.2915.36–34.43
Shots in box
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction7.958.6216.57safe5.01–10.895.94–11.3010.94–22.19safer4.18–11.725.20–12.049.38–23.76
Blocked shots
42%
15%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.623.627.25safe1.74–5.511.97–5.283.71–10.78safer1.20–6.051.48–5.772.68–11.82
Corners
37%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.915.4410.35safe2.70–7.123.44–7.446.13–14.56safer2.12–7.702.90–7.975.03–15.67
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction40.1661.05safe33.37–46.9554.27–67.84safer31.70–48.6252.59–69.51
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction332512845safe265–399446–579711–978safer247–418428–596675–1014
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction64.5075.76safe60.47–68.5371.44–80.08safer59.18–69.8270.13–81.39
Fouls
74%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3410.6124.95safe11.50–17.177.67–13.5619.17–30.73safer10.74–17.936.92–14.3117.66–32.24
Offsides
29%
20%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.652.213.86safe0.49–2.811.12–3.301.61–6.11safer0.19–3.110.83–3.591.02–6.70
Yellow cards
45%
21%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.763.81safe1.00–3.100.63–2.891.63–5.98safer0.73–3.360.34–3.181.07–6.54
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.81
GK saves
43%
17%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.802.705.50safe1.37–4.241.14–4.252.51–8.49safer0.98–4.630.72–4.681.70–9.31
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.25–2.19 0.00–2.44 | 1.39 0.54–2.25 0.31–2.47 | 2.61 0.79–4.43 0.31–4.91 | 33% 26% 41% |
| Shots on target | 3.98 2.11–5.84 1.63–6.33 | 4.25 2.51–5.99 2.04–6.46 | 8.23 4.62–11.83 3.66–12.79 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Total shots | 12.12 8.20–16.05 7.11–17.14 | 12.77 9.21–16.33 8.25–17.29 | 24.89 17.41–32.38 15.36–34.43 | 41% 51% |
| Shots in box | 7.95 5.01–10.89 4.18–11.72 | 8.62 5.94–11.30 5.20–12.04 | 16.57 10.94–22.19 9.38–23.76 | 39% 52% |
| Blocked shots | 3.62 1.74–5.51 1.20–6.05 | 3.62 1.97–5.28 1.48–5.77 | 7.25 3.71–10.78 2.68–11.82 | 42% 15% 42% |
| Corners | 4.91 2.70–7.12 2.12–7.70 | 5.44 3.44–7.44 2.90–7.97 | 10.35 6.13–14.56 5.03–15.67 | 37% 50% |
| Possession % | 40.16 33.37–46.95 31.70–48.62 | 61.05 54.27–67.84 52.59–69.51 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 332 265–399 247–418 | 512 446–579 428–596 | 845 711–978 675–1014 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.50 60.47–68.53 59.18–69.82 | 75.76 71.44–80.08 70.13–81.39 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 14.34 11.50–17.17 10.74–17.93 | 10.61 7.67–13.56 6.92–14.31 | 24.95 19.17–30.73 17.66–32.24 | 74% 20% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.19–3.11 | 2.21 1.12–3.30 0.83–3.59 | 3.86 1.61–6.11 1.02–6.70 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 2.05 1.00–3.10 0.73–3.36 | 1.76 0.63–2.89 0.34–3.18 | 3.81 1.63–5.98 1.07–6.54 | 45% 21% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.80 1.37–4.24 0.98–4.63 | 2.70 1.14–4.25 0.72–4.68 | 5.50 2.51–8.49 1.70–9.31 | 43% 17% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.