Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
24%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction1.670.912.58safe0.70–2.640.05–1.760.76–4.40safer0.45–2.890.00–1.990.28–4.88
Shots on target
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.152.928.07safe3.29–7.011.18–4.664.47–11.68safer2.80–7.500.71–5.133.51–12.63
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction15.879.7025.57safe11.94–19.796.14–13.2618.08–33.05safer10.85–20.885.18–14.2216.03–35.10
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction10.606.1216.72safe7.66–13.543.44–8.8011.09–22.34safer6.83–14.372.70–9.539.53–23.91
Blocked shots
59%
14%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.213.087.28safe2.32–6.091.42–4.733.75–10.82safer1.78–6.630.93–5.222.71–11.85
Corners
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.423.8110.23safe4.21–8.641.81–5.816.02–14.45safer3.64–9.211.28–6.344.91–15.55
Possession %
94%
homeawayprediction63.3536.08safe56.56–70.1429.29–42.86safer54.89–71.8127.62–44.53
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction571309879safe503–638242–375746–1013safer485–656225–393710–1049
Pass accuracy %
84%
homeawayprediction75.3767.04safe71.34–79.4062.72–71.37safer70.05–80.6961.41–72.68
Fouls
16%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction9.4313.6723.11safe6.60–12.2710.73–16.6217.32–28.89safer5.84–13.039.98–17.3715.82–30.39
Offsides
51%
20%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction2.271.683.95safe1.11–3.430.59–2.771.70–6.21safer0.81–3.730.30–3.061.11–6.80
Yellow cards
20%
19%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction1.302.373.67safe0.25–2.351.24–3.501.49–5.85safer0.00–2.620.95–3.790.93–6.40
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
22%
15%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.123.435.56safe0.69–3.561.88–4.992.56–8.55safer0.30–3.951.45–5.411.75–9.36
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.67 0.70–2.64 0.45–2.89 | 0.91 0.05–1.76 0.00–1.99 | 2.58 0.76–4.40 0.28–4.88 | 55% 24% 20% |
| Shots on target | 5.15 3.29–7.01 2.80–7.50 | 2.92 1.18–4.66 0.71–5.13 | 8.07 4.47–11.68 3.51–12.63 | 73% 16% |
| Total shots | 15.87 11.94–19.79 10.85–20.88 | 9.70 6.14–13.26 5.18–14.22 | 25.57 18.08–33.05 16.03–35.10 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 10.60 7.66–13.54 6.83–14.37 | 6.12 3.44–8.80 2.70–9.53 | 16.72 11.09–22.34 9.53–23.91 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 4.21 2.32–6.09 1.78–6.63 | 3.08 1.42–4.73 0.93–5.22 | 7.28 3.75–10.82 2.71–11.85 | 59% 14% 27% |
| Corners | 6.42 4.21–8.64 3.64–9.21 | 3.81 1.81–5.81 1.28–6.34 | 10.23 6.02–14.45 4.91–15.55 | 75% 16% |
| Possession % | 63.35 56.56–70.14 54.89–71.81 | 36.08 29.29–42.86 27.62–44.53 | — | 94% |
| Passes | 571 503–638 485–656 | 309 242–375 225–393 | 879 746–1013 710–1049 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.37 71.34–79.40 70.05–80.69 | 67.04 62.72–71.37 61.41–72.68 | — | 84% |
| Fouls | 9.43 6.60–12.27 5.84–13.03 | 13.67 10.73–16.62 9.98–17.37 | 23.11 17.32–28.89 15.82–30.39 | 16% 78% |
| Offsides | 2.27 1.11–3.43 0.81–3.73 | 1.68 0.59–2.77 0.30–3.06 | 3.95 1.70–6.21 1.11–6.80 | 51% 20% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.30 0.25–2.35 0.00–2.62 | 2.37 1.24–3.50 0.95–3.79 | 3.67 1.49–5.85 0.93–6.40 | 20% 19% 61% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.12 0.69–3.56 0.30–3.95 | 3.43 1.88–4.99 1.45–5.41 | 5.56 2.56–8.55 1.75–9.36 | 22% 15% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.