Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
27%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.171.252.42safe0.21–2.140.40–2.100.60–4.25safer0.00–2.390.17–2.330.12–4.73
Shots on target
38%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction3.954.328.27safe2.09–5.812.58–6.074.67–11.88safer1.60–6.302.12–6.533.71–12.83
Total shots
45%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6012.7725.37safe8.68–16.539.21–16.3417.89–32.86safer7.58–17.628.25–17.2915.84–34.91
Shots in box
47%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction8.198.0216.21safe5.25–11.145.34–10.7010.59–21.83safer4.42–11.974.60–11.449.02–23.40
Blocked shots
41%
15%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.533.627.15safe1.65–5.411.97–5.273.61–10.69safer1.11–5.961.47–5.762.58–11.72
Corners
51%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.244.669.91safe3.03–7.462.66–6.665.69–14.12safer2.45–8.032.13–7.204.59–15.23
Possession %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction42.4958.14safe35.70–49.2951.35–64.92safer34.04–50.9549.68–66.59
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction420572992safe353–487505–638858–1125safer335–505488–656822–1161
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction69.9778.50safe65.94–74.0074.18–82.82safer64.65–75.3072.87–84.13
Fouls
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2410.0921.33safe8.41–14.087.14–13.0315.55–27.11safer7.65–14.846.39–13.7814.04–28.62
Offsides
64%
17%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.681.434.11safe1.52–3.840.34–2.521.85–6.36safer1.22–4.140.05–2.811.26–6.95
Yellow cards
38%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.733.44safe0.66–2.760.60–2.861.26–5.62safer0.40–3.030.31–3.150.71–6.18
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
43%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.832.755.57safe1.39–4.261.19–4.302.58–8.57safer1.00–4.650.77–4.731.77–9.38
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.17 0.21–2.14 0.00–2.39 | 1.25 0.40–2.10 0.17–2.33 | 2.42 0.60–4.25 0.12–4.73 | 34% 27% 38% |
| Shots on target | 3.95 2.09–5.81 1.60–6.30 | 4.32 2.58–6.07 2.12–6.53 | 8.27 4.67–11.88 3.71–12.83 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Total shots | 12.60 8.68–16.53 7.58–17.62 | 12.77 9.21–16.34 8.25–17.29 | 25.37 17.89–32.86 15.84–34.91 | 45% 47% |
| Shots in box | 8.19 5.25–11.14 4.42–11.97 | 8.02 5.34–10.70 4.60–11.44 | 16.21 10.59–21.83 9.02–23.40 | 47% 43% |
| Blocked shots | 3.53 1.65–5.41 1.11–5.96 | 3.62 1.97–5.27 1.47–5.76 | 7.15 3.61–10.69 2.58–11.72 | 41% 15% 44% |
| Corners | 5.24 3.03–7.46 2.45–8.03 | 4.66 2.66–6.66 2.13–7.20 | 9.91 5.69–14.12 4.59–15.23 | 51% 36% |
| Possession % | 42.49 35.70–49.29 34.04–50.95 | 58.14 51.35–64.92 49.68–66.59 | — | 16% 81% |
| Passes | 420 353–487 335–505 | 572 505–638 488–656 | 992 858–1125 822–1161 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.97 65.94–74.00 64.65–75.30 | 78.50 74.18–82.82 72.87–84.13 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 11.24 8.41–14.08 7.65–14.84 | 10.09 7.14–13.03 6.39–13.78 | 21.33 15.55–27.11 14.04–28.62 | 56% 36% |
| Offsides | 2.68 1.52–3.84 1.22–4.14 | 1.43 0.34–2.52 0.05–2.81 | 4.11 1.85–6.36 1.26–6.95 | 64% 17% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.66–2.76 0.40–3.03 | 1.73 0.60–2.86 0.31–3.15 | 3.44 1.26–5.62 0.71–6.18 | 38% 22% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.83 1.39–4.26 1.00–4.65 | 2.75 1.19–4.30 0.77–4.73 | 5.57 2.58–8.57 1.77–9.38 | 43% 17% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.