Predicted match statistics
Goals
51%
24%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.162.91safe0.78–2.720.30–2.011.08–4.73safer0.53–2.970.07–2.240.60–5.21
Shots on target
60%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.843.578.41safe2.97–6.701.83–5.324.81–12.02safer2.48–7.191.37–5.783.85–12.97
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction16.6410.6527.28safe12.71–20.567.08–14.2119.80–34.77safer11.62–21.656.13–15.1717.75–36.82
Shots in box
68%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction9.567.1216.68safe6.62–12.514.44–9.8011.06–22.31safer5.79–13.343.70–10.549.49–23.88
Blocked shots
66%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.632.977.59safe2.75–6.511.31–4.624.06–11.13safer2.20–7.050.82–5.113.02–12.16
Corners
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.793.899.68safe3.58–8.001.89–5.895.47–13.89safer3.00–8.581.36–6.424.36–15.00
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction59.3841.17safe52.59–66.1734.39–47.96safer50.92–67.8432.72–49.63
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction599386985safe532–667320–452852–1119safer514–685302–470816–1155
Pass accuracy %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction78.0572.30safe74.02–82.0867.98–76.63safer72.73–83.3766.67–77.94
Fouls
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4111.1521.56safe7.57–13.258.21–14.1015.78–27.35safer6.82–14.007.46–14.8514.28–28.85
Offsides
21%
18%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction1.522.654.17safe0.36–2.681.56–3.751.92–6.42safer0.06–2.981.27–4.031.33–7.01
Yellow cards
31%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.471.863.33safe0.42–2.520.73–2.991.15–5.51safer0.15–2.780.44–3.280.59–6.06
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.13safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.350.00–0.410.00–0.76
GK saves
28%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.343.185.52safe0.90–3.771.62–4.742.53–8.51safer0.52–4.161.20–5.161.71–9.32
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.75 0.78–2.72 0.53–2.97 | 1.16 0.30–2.01 0.07–2.24 | 2.91 1.08–4.73 0.60–5.21 | 51% 24% 25% |
| Shots on target | 4.84 2.97–6.70 2.48–7.19 | 3.57 1.83–5.32 1.37–5.78 | 8.41 4.81–12.02 3.85–12.97 | 60% 27% |
| Total shots | 16.64 12.71–20.56 11.62–21.65 | 10.65 7.08–14.21 6.13–15.17 | 27.28 19.80–34.77 17.75–36.82 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 9.56 6.62–12.51 5.79–13.34 | 7.12 4.44–9.80 3.70–10.54 | 16.68 11.06–22.31 9.49–23.88 | 68% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 4.63 2.75–6.51 2.20–7.05 | 2.97 1.31–4.62 0.82–5.11 | 7.59 4.06–11.13 3.02–12.16 | 66% 21% |
| Corners | 5.79 3.58–8.00 3.00–8.58 | 3.89 1.89–5.89 1.36–6.42 | 9.68 5.47–13.89 4.36–15.00 | 67% 22% |
| Possession % | 59.38 52.59–66.17 50.92–67.84 | 41.17 34.39–47.96 32.72–49.63 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 599 532–667 514–685 | 386 320–452 302–470 | 985 852–1119 816–1155 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.05 74.02–82.08 72.73–83.37 | 72.30 67.98–76.63 66.67–77.94 | — | 75% 21% |
| Fouls | 10.41 7.57–13.25 6.82–14.00 | 11.15 8.21–14.10 7.46–14.85 | 21.56 15.78–27.35 14.28–28.85 | 39% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 2.65 1.56–3.75 1.27–4.03 | 4.17 1.92–6.42 1.33–7.01 | 21% 18% 62% |
| Yellow cards | 1.47 0.42–2.52 0.15–2.78 | 1.86 0.73–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 3.33 1.15–5.51 0.59–6.06 | 31% 22% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.34 0.90–3.77 0.52–4.16 | 3.18 1.62–4.74 1.20–5.16 | 5.52 2.53–8.51 1.71–9.32 | 28% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.