Championship·Regular Season - 12·
Championship·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
27%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.111.302.41safe0.14–2.080.44–2.150.58–4.23safer0.00–2.330.21–2.380.11–4.71
Shots on target
42%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.813.857.67safe1.95–5.682.11–5.604.06–11.27safer1.46–6.161.65–6.063.11–12.23
Total shots
48%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1111.8723.98safe8.19–16.048.31–15.4316.49–31.47safer7.10–17.137.35–16.3914.44–33.52
Shots in box
47%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction8.157.9616.11safe5.21–11.095.28–10.6410.49–21.73safer4.38–11.924.54–11.388.92–23.30
Blocked shots
47%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.493.206.69safe1.61–5.371.54–4.853.15–10.23safer1.07–5.921.05–5.342.12–11.26
Corners
48%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction5.164.779.93safe2.95–7.372.77–6.775.72–14.15safer2.37–7.952.24–7.314.61–15.25
Possession %
47%
48%
homeawayprediction50.0650.27safe43.27–56.8643.48–57.05safer41.61–58.5241.81–58.72
Passes
55%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction423409831safe356–490342–475698–965safer337–508325–493662–1001
Pass accuracy %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction66.2369.07safe62.20–70.2664.75–73.40safer60.91–71.5563.44–74.70
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1012.3023.39safe8.26–13.939.35–15.2417.61–29.17safer7.50–14.698.60–15.9916.11–30.68
Offsides
36%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.952.154.10safe0.79–3.111.06–3.251.85–6.36safer0.49–3.410.77–3.531.26–6.94
Yellow cards
36%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.942.154.09safe0.89–2.991.02–3.281.91–6.27safer0.63–3.260.73–3.571.36–6.83
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
38%
18%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.482.665.14safe1.04–3.921.11–4.222.15–8.13safer0.66–4.300.68–4.641.34–8.95
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.11 0.14–2.08 0.00–2.33 | 1.30 0.44–2.15 0.21–2.38 | 2.41 0.58–4.23 0.11–4.71 | 32% 27% 41% |
| Shots on target | 3.81 1.95–5.68 1.46–6.16 | 3.85 2.11–5.60 1.65–6.06 | 7.67 4.06–11.27 3.11–12.23 | 42% 15% 43% |
| Total shots | 12.11 8.19–16.04 7.10–17.13 | 11.87 8.31–15.43 7.35–16.39 | 23.98 16.49–31.47 14.44–33.52 | 48% 44% |
| Shots in box | 8.15 5.21–11.09 4.38–11.92 | 7.96 5.28–10.64 4.54–11.38 | 16.11 10.49–21.73 8.92–23.30 | 47% 43% |
| Blocked shots | 3.49 1.61–5.37 1.07–5.92 | 3.20 1.54–4.85 1.05–5.34 | 6.69 3.15–10.23 2.12–11.26 | 47% 16% 38% |
| Corners | 5.16 2.95–7.37 2.37–7.95 | 4.77 2.77–6.77 2.24–7.31 | 9.93 5.72–14.15 4.61–15.25 | 48% 39% |
| Possession % | 50.06 43.27–56.86 41.61–58.52 | 50.27 43.48–57.05 41.81–58.72 | — | 47% 48% |
| Passes | 423 356–490 337–508 | 409 342–475 325–493 | 831 698–965 662–1001 | 55% 45% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.23 62.20–70.26 60.91–71.55 | 69.07 64.75–73.40 63.44–74.70 | — | 33% 62% |
| Fouls | 11.10 8.26–13.93 7.50–14.69 | 12.30 9.35–15.24 8.60–15.99 | 23.39 17.61–29.17 16.11–30.68 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.95 0.79–3.11 0.49–3.41 | 2.15 1.06–3.25 0.77–3.53 | 4.10 1.85–6.36 1.26–6.94 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.63–3.26 | 2.15 1.02–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 4.09 1.91–6.27 1.36–6.83 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.48 1.04–3.92 0.66–4.30 | 2.66 1.11–4.22 0.68–4.64 | 5.14 2.15–8.13 1.34–8.95 | 38% 18% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+