Championship·Regular Season - 24·
Championship·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
49%
26%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.500.992.49safe0.54–2.470.13–1.840.67–4.31safer0.29–2.720.00–2.070.19–4.79
Shots on target
57%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.473.437.91safe2.61–6.331.69–5.184.30–11.51safer2.12–6.821.23–5.643.35–12.47
Total shots
67%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9610.3023.26safe9.04–16.896.74–13.8715.78–30.75safer7.94–17.985.78–14.8313.73–32.80
Shots in box
71%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction9.346.6616.00safe6.40–12.283.98–9.3410.37–21.62safer5.57–13.113.24–10.088.81–23.19
Blocked shots
52%
15%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.743.096.84safe1.86–5.631.44–4.753.30–10.37safer1.32–6.170.95–5.242.27–11.41
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction6.074.2510.32safe3.86–8.292.25–6.256.11–14.54safer3.29–8.861.72–6.785.00–15.64
Possession %
57%
39%
homeawayprediction51.0747.21safe44.28–57.8640.43–54.00safer42.61–59.5338.75–55.67
Passes
62%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction422386808safe355–489319–452674–942safer337–507302–470639–977
Pass accuracy %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction67.5069.31safe63.47–71.5364.99–73.63safer62.18–72.8263.68–74.94
Fouls
50%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction11.7411.2923.04safe8.91–14.588.35–14.2417.26–28.82safer8.15–15.347.60–14.9915.75–30.32
Offsides
43%
20%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.192.014.20safe1.03–3.350.92–3.101.94–6.45safer0.73–3.650.63–3.391.35–7.04
Yellow cards
36%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.942.134.07safe0.89–2.991.01–3.261.90–6.25safer0.62–3.250.71–3.561.34–6.81
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.15safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
33%
18%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction2.322.835.15safe0.89–3.761.27–4.382.16–8.14safer0.50–4.140.85–4.811.34–8.95
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 0.54–2.47 0.29–2.72 | 0.99 0.13–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 2.49 0.67–4.31 0.19–4.79 | 49% 26% 25% |
| Shots on target | 4.47 2.61–6.33 2.12–6.82 | 3.43 1.69–5.18 1.23–5.64 | 7.91 4.30–11.51 3.35–12.47 | 57% 14% 29% |
| Total shots | 12.96 9.04–16.89 7.94–17.98 | 10.30 6.74–13.87 5.78–14.83 | 23.26 15.78–30.75 13.73–32.80 | 67% 26% |
| Shots in box | 9.34 6.40–12.28 5.57–13.11 | 6.66 3.98–9.34 3.24–10.08 | 16.00 10.37–21.62 8.81–23.19 | 71% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 3.74 1.86–5.63 1.32–6.17 | 3.09 1.44–4.75 0.95–5.24 | 6.84 3.30–10.37 2.27–11.41 | 52% 15% 33% |
| Corners | 6.07 3.86–8.29 3.29–8.86 | 4.25 2.25–6.25 1.72–6.78 | 10.32 6.11–14.54 5.00–15.64 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 51.07 44.28–57.86 42.61–59.53 | 47.21 40.43–54.00 38.75–55.67 | — | 57% 39% |
| Passes | 422 355–489 337–507 | 386 319–452 302–470 | 808 674–942 639–977 | 62% 38% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.50 63.47–71.53 62.18–72.82 | 69.31 64.99–73.63 63.68–74.94 | — | 38% 57% |
| Fouls | 11.74 8.91–14.58 8.15–15.34 | 11.29 8.35–14.24 7.60–14.99 | 23.04 17.26–28.82 15.75–30.32 | 50% 42% |
| Offsides | 2.19 1.03–3.35 0.73–3.65 | 2.01 0.92–3.10 0.63–3.39 | 4.20 1.94–6.45 1.35–7.04 | 43% 20% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.62–3.25 | 2.13 1.01–3.26 0.71–3.56 | 4.07 1.90–6.25 1.34–6.81 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.32 0.89–3.76 0.50–4.14 | 2.83 1.27–4.38 0.85–4.81 | 5.15 2.16–8.14 1.34–8.95 | 33% 18% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.