Championship·Regular Season - 12·
Championship·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
25%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.581.132.71safe0.61–2.550.28–1.980.89–4.53safer0.36–2.800.05–2.210.41–5.01
Shots on target
54%
13%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.673.888.55safe2.80–6.532.14–5.624.94–12.15safer2.31–7.021.67–6.093.99–13.11
Total shots
63%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7511.5825.33safe9.83–17.688.02–15.1417.85–32.82safer8.74–18.777.06–16.1015.79–34.87
Shots in box
60%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction9.387.8617.24safe6.44–12.325.18–10.5411.62–22.86safer5.61–13.154.44–11.2810.05–24.43
Blocked shots
50%
15%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.853.327.17safe1.96–5.731.67–4.973.63–10.70safer1.42–6.271.18–5.472.60–11.74
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.614.339.94safe3.40–7.822.33–6.335.72–14.15safer2.82–8.401.80–6.864.62–15.26
Possession %
65%
30%
homeawayprediction54.0346.34safe47.24–60.8239.55–53.12safer45.57–62.4937.88–54.79
Passes
80%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction466367833safe399–534300–433699–967safer381–552283–450664–1002
Pass accuracy %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction68.2967.64safe64.26–72.3263.32–71.96safer62.97–73.6162.01–73.27
Fouls
64%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6710.4823.14safe9.83–15.507.53–13.4217.36–28.92safer9.07–16.266.78–14.1715.86–30.43
Offsides
44%
23%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.543.35safe0.65–2.970.45–2.631.10–5.61safer0.35–3.280.16–2.920.51–6.20
Yellow cards
37%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.942.094.03safe0.89–2.990.97–3.221.85–6.21safer0.62–3.250.67–3.511.30–6.77
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
39%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.772.955.73safe1.34–4.211.40–4.512.74–8.72safer0.95–4.600.97–4.941.92–9.53
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.58 0.61–2.55 0.36–2.80 | 1.13 0.28–1.98 0.05–2.21 | 2.71 0.89–4.53 0.41–5.01 | 48% 25% 27% |
| Shots on target | 4.67 2.80–6.53 2.31–7.02 | 3.88 2.14–5.62 1.67–6.09 | 8.55 4.94–12.15 3.99–13.11 | 54% 13% 33% |
| Total shots | 13.75 9.83–17.68 8.74–18.77 | 11.58 8.02–15.14 7.06–16.10 | 25.33 17.85–32.82 15.79–34.87 | 63% 30% |
| Shots in box | 9.38 6.44–12.32 5.61–13.15 | 7.86 5.18–10.54 4.44–11.28 | 17.24 11.62–22.86 10.05–24.43 | 60% 31% |
| Blocked shots | 3.85 1.96–5.73 1.42–6.27 | 3.32 1.67–4.97 1.18–5.47 | 7.17 3.63–10.70 2.60–11.74 | 50% 15% 35% |
| Corners | 5.61 3.40–7.82 2.82–8.40 | 4.33 2.33–6.33 1.80–6.86 | 9.94 5.72–14.15 4.62–15.26 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 54.03 47.24–60.82 45.57–62.49 | 46.34 39.55–53.12 37.88–54.79 | — | 65% 30% |
| Passes | 466 399–534 381–552 | 367 300–433 283–450 | 833 699–967 664–1002 | 80% 20% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.29 64.26–72.32 62.97–73.61 | 67.64 63.32–71.96 62.01–73.27 | — | 51% 44% |
| Fouls | 12.67 9.83–15.50 9.07–16.26 | 10.48 7.53–13.42 6.78–14.17 | 23.14 17.36–28.92 15.86–30.43 | 64% 29% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.35–3.28 | 1.54 0.45–2.63 0.16–2.92 | 3.35 1.10–5.61 0.51–6.20 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.62–3.25 | 2.09 0.97–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 4.03 1.85–6.21 1.30–6.77 | 37% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.77 1.34–4.21 0.95–4.60 | 2.95 1.40–4.51 0.97–4.94 | 5.73 2.74–8.72 1.92–9.53 | 39% 17% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+