Championship·Regular Season - 24·
Championship·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
26%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.372.64safe0.31–2.240.51–2.220.82–4.47safer0.06–2.500.29–2.450.34–4.95
Shots on target
48%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.233.858.08safe2.37–6.092.11–5.594.47–11.68safer1.88–6.581.64–6.063.52–12.64
Total shots
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction13.2311.2524.48safe9.30–17.157.69–14.8216.99–31.97safer8.21–18.246.73–15.7714.94–34.02
Shots in box
48%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction8.317.9816.30safe5.37–11.265.30–10.6610.68–21.92safer4.54–12.094.57–11.409.11–23.49
Blocked shots
51%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.043.447.48safe2.16–5.931.79–5.093.95–11.02safer1.62–6.471.29–5.582.91–12.05
Corners
49%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction5.324.8810.21safe3.11–7.542.88–6.885.99–14.42safer2.54–8.112.35–7.424.89–15.53
Possession %
40%
56%
homeawayprediction48.6051.99safe41.81–55.3945.20–58.77safer40.14–57.0643.53–60.44
Passes
43%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction420441861safe352–487375–507727–994safer334–505357–525691–1030
Pass accuracy %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction62.8070.04safe58.77–66.8365.72–74.37safer57.48–68.1264.41–75.68
Fouls
25%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3513.0523.40safe7.52–13.1910.10–15.9917.62–29.18safer6.76–13.959.35–16.7416.11–30.69
Offsides
38%
22%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.753.48safe0.56–2.890.66–2.851.22–5.73safer0.26–3.190.37–3.130.63–6.32
Yellow cards
24%
19%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction1.492.373.86safe0.44–2.541.24–3.501.69–6.04safer0.18–2.810.95–3.791.13–6.60
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
32%
17%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.413.015.41safe0.97–3.841.45–4.562.42–8.41safer0.58–4.231.03–4.991.61–9.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.28 0.31–2.24 0.06–2.50 | 1.37 0.51–2.22 0.29–2.45 | 2.64 0.82–4.47 0.34–4.95 | 35% 26% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.23 2.37–6.09 1.88–6.58 | 3.85 2.11–5.59 1.64–6.06 | 8.08 4.47–11.68 3.52–12.64 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Total shots | 13.23 9.30–17.15 8.21–18.24 | 11.25 7.69–14.82 6.73–15.77 | 24.48 16.99–31.97 14.94–34.02 | 62% 31% |
| Shots in box | 8.31 5.37–11.26 4.54–12.09 | 7.98 5.30–10.66 4.57–11.40 | 16.30 10.68–21.92 9.11–23.49 | 48% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 4.04 2.16–5.93 1.62–6.47 | 3.44 1.79–5.09 1.29–5.58 | 7.48 3.95–11.02 2.91–12.05 | 51% 15% 34% |
| Corners | 5.32 3.11–7.54 2.54–8.11 | 4.88 2.88–6.88 2.35–7.42 | 10.21 5.99–14.42 4.89–15.53 | 49% 38% |
| Possession % | 48.60 41.81–55.39 40.14–57.06 | 51.99 45.20–58.77 43.53–60.44 | — | 40% 56% |
| Passes | 420 352–487 334–505 | 441 375–507 357–525 | 861 727–994 691–1030 | 43% 57% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.80 58.77–66.83 57.48–68.12 | 70.04 65.72–74.37 64.41–75.68 | — | 16% 81% |
| Fouls | 10.35 7.52–13.19 6.76–13.95 | 13.05 10.10–15.99 9.35–16.74 | 23.40 17.62–29.18 16.11–30.69 | 25% 67% |
| Offsides | 1.73 0.56–2.89 0.26–3.19 | 1.75 0.66–2.85 0.37–3.13 | 3.48 1.22–5.73 0.63–6.32 | 38% 22% 39% |
| Yellow cards | 1.49 0.44–2.54 0.18–2.81 | 2.37 1.24–3.50 0.95–3.79 | 3.86 1.69–6.04 1.13–6.60 | 24% 19% 57% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.41 0.97–3.84 0.58–4.23 | 3.01 1.45–4.56 1.03–4.99 | 5.41 2.42–8.41 1.61–9.22 | 32% 17% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+