Championship·Regular Season - 12·
Championship·Regular Season - 12·Predicted match statistics
Goals
40%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.561.483.05safe0.59–2.530.63–2.341.22–4.87safer0.34–2.780.40–2.570.74–5.35
Shots on target
46%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction5.084.909.98safe3.21–6.943.16–6.646.37–13.58safer2.72–7.432.69–7.115.42–14.54
Total shots
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction16.0614.0430.09safe12.13–19.9810.47–17.6022.60–37.58safer11.04–21.079.51–18.5620.55–39.63
Shots in box
54%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction10.419.4419.85safe7.46–13.356.76–12.1214.22–25.47safer6.64–14.186.02–12.8612.66–27.04
Blocked shots
52%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.333.718.04safe2.45–6.212.05–5.364.50–11.57safer1.91–6.761.56–5.853.47–12.61
Corners
52%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.685.0410.72safe3.46–7.893.04–7.046.51–14.94safer2.89–8.462.51–7.585.40–16.04
Possession %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction48.7351.48safe41.94–55.5244.69–58.26safer40.27–57.1943.02–59.94
Passes
40%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction448479927safe381–516413–545794–1061safer363–534395–563758–1097
Pass accuracy %
26%
70%
homeawayprediction73.0377.52safe69.00–77.0673.20–81.85safer67.70–78.3571.89–83.16
Fouls
53%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2910.4921.78safe8.46–14.137.54–13.4316.00–27.56safer7.70–14.896.79–14.1814.49–29.07
Offsides
40%
23%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.633.32safe0.53–2.850.54–2.721.07–5.57safer0.23–3.150.25–3.010.48–6.16
Yellow cards
36%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.731.903.62safe0.68–2.780.77–3.031.45–5.80safer0.41–3.040.48–3.320.89–6.36
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.070.12safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.46safer0.00–0.360.00–0.390.00–0.75
GK saves
40%
16%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.183.326.49safe1.74–4.611.76–4.873.50–9.49safer1.35–5.001.34–5.302.69–10.30
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.56 0.59–2.53 0.34–2.78 | 1.48 0.63–2.34 0.40–2.57 | 3.05 1.22–4.87 0.74–5.35 | 40% 24% 36% |
| Shots on target | 5.08 3.21–6.94 2.72–7.43 | 4.90 3.16–6.64 2.69–7.11 | 9.98 6.37–13.58 5.42–14.54 | 46% 41% |
| Total shots | 16.06 12.13–19.98 11.04–21.07 | 14.04 10.47–17.60 9.51–18.56 | 30.09 22.60–37.58 20.55–39.63 | 61% 32% |
| Shots in box | 10.41 7.46–13.35 6.64–14.18 | 9.44 6.76–12.12 6.02–12.86 | 19.85 14.22–25.47 12.66–27.04 | 54% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 4.33 2.45–6.21 1.91–6.76 | 3.71 2.05–5.36 1.56–5.85 | 8.04 4.50–11.57 3.47–12.61 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Corners | 5.68 3.46–7.89 2.89–8.46 | 5.04 3.04–7.04 2.51–7.58 | 10.72 6.51–14.94 5.40–16.04 | 52% 36% |
| Possession % | 48.73 41.94–55.52 40.27–57.19 | 51.48 44.69–58.26 43.02–59.94 | — | 41% 54% |
| Passes | 448 381–516 363–534 | 479 413–545 395–563 | 927 794–1061 758–1097 | 40% 60% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.03 69.00–77.06 67.70–78.35 | 77.52 73.20–81.85 71.89–83.16 | — | 26% 70% |
| Fouls | 11.29 8.46–14.13 7.70–14.89 | 10.49 7.54–13.43 6.79–14.18 | 21.78 16.00–27.56 14.49–29.07 | 53% 39% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.15 | 1.63 0.54–2.72 0.25–3.01 | 3.32 1.07–5.57 0.48–6.16 | 40% 23% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.73 0.68–2.78 0.41–3.04 | 1.90 0.77–3.03 0.48–3.32 | 3.62 1.45–5.80 0.89–6.36 | 36% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.46 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 3.18 1.74–4.61 1.35–5.00 | 3.32 1.76–4.87 1.34–5.30 | 6.49 3.50–9.49 2.69–10.30 | 40% 16% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+