Championship·Regular Season - 24·
Championship·Regular Season - 24·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
23%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.791.353.13safe0.82–2.750.49–2.201.31–4.96safer0.57–3.000.27–2.430.83–5.44
Shots on target
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.494.7810.27safe3.63–7.353.04–6.526.67–13.88safer3.14–7.842.57–6.995.71–14.83
Total shots
75%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction17.0212.8029.83safe13.10–20.959.24–16.3722.34–37.31safer12.01–22.048.28–17.3220.29–39.36
Shots in box
66%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction11.218.8620.07safe8.27–14.156.18–11.5414.45–25.70safer7.44–14.985.44–12.2812.88–27.26
Blocked shots
56%
13%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.843.878.71safe2.96–6.722.21–5.525.17–12.24safer2.41–7.261.72–6.014.13–13.28
Corners
64%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction5.874.2410.11safe3.65–8.082.24–6.245.90–14.32safer3.08–8.651.71–6.784.79–15.43
Possession %
65%
31%
homeawayprediction54.1046.68safe47.31–60.8939.89–53.46safer45.64–62.5638.22–55.13
Passes
75%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction508427934safe441–575360–493801–1068safer423–593343–511765–1104
Pass accuracy %
55%
40%
homeawayprediction75.6674.28safe71.63–79.6969.96–78.61safer70.34–80.9868.65–79.92
Fouls
31%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6112.4323.04safe7.77–13.459.48–15.3717.25–28.82safer7.02–14.208.73–16.1215.75–30.32
Offsides
49%
22%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.403.29safe0.72–3.050.31–2.501.03–5.54safer0.42–3.350.02–2.780.44–6.13
Yellow cards
28%
22%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.973.39safe0.37–2.470.84–3.101.22–5.57safer0.11–2.740.55–3.390.66–6.13
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
35%
15%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction3.123.636.75safe1.68–4.552.07–5.193.75–9.74safer1.29–4.941.65–5.612.94–10.55
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.79 0.82–2.75 0.57–3.00 | 1.35 0.49–2.20 0.27–2.43 | 3.13 1.31–4.96 0.83–5.44 | 48% 23% 29% |
| Shots on target | 5.49 3.63–7.35 3.14–7.84 | 4.78 3.04–6.52 2.57–6.99 | 10.27 6.67–13.88 5.71–14.83 | 52% 35% |
| Total shots | 17.02 13.10–20.95 12.01–22.04 | 12.80 9.24–16.37 8.28–17.32 | 29.83 22.34–37.31 20.29–39.36 | 75% 19% |
| Shots in box | 11.21 8.27–14.15 7.44–14.98 | 8.86 6.18–11.54 5.44–12.28 | 20.07 14.45–25.70 12.88–27.26 | 66% 26% |
| Blocked shots | 4.84 2.96–6.72 2.41–7.26 | 3.87 2.21–5.52 1.72–6.01 | 8.71 5.17–12.24 4.13–13.28 | 56% 13% 31% |
| Corners | 5.87 3.65–8.08 3.08–8.65 | 4.24 2.24–6.24 1.71–6.78 | 10.11 5.90–14.32 4.79–15.43 | 64% 25% |
| Possession % | 54.10 47.31–60.89 45.64–62.56 | 46.68 39.89–53.46 38.22–55.13 | — | 65% 31% |
| Passes | 508 441–575 423–593 | 427 360–493 343–511 | 934 801–1068 765–1104 | 75% 25% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.66 71.63–79.69 70.34–80.98 | 74.28 69.96–78.61 68.65–79.92 | — | 55% 40% |
| Fouls | 10.61 7.77–13.45 7.02–14.20 | 12.43 9.48–15.37 8.73–16.12 | 23.04 17.25–28.82 15.75–30.32 | 31% 61% |
| Offsides | 1.89 0.72–3.05 0.42–3.35 | 1.40 0.31–2.50 0.02–2.78 | 3.29 1.03–5.54 0.44–6.13 | 49% 22% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.37–2.47 0.11–2.74 | 1.97 0.84–3.10 0.55–3.39 | 3.39 1.22–5.57 0.66–6.13 | 28% 22% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.12 1.68–4.55 1.29–4.94 | 3.63 2.07–5.19 1.65–5.61 | 6.75 3.75–9.74 2.94–10.55 | 35% 15% 50% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.