Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
22%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.113.01safe0.93–2.870.26–1.961.19–4.83safer0.68–3.120.03–2.190.71–5.31
Shots on target
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.643.639.26safe3.77–7.501.88–5.375.66–12.87safer3.28–7.991.42–5.834.70–13.82
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction18.3910.5428.92safe14.46–22.316.97–14.1021.44–36.41safer13.37–23.406.02–15.0619.39–38.46
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction11.456.5918.04safe8.50–14.393.91–9.2712.41–23.66safer7.67–15.223.17–10.0110.85–25.23
Blocked shots
68%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction4.823.037.85safe2.94–6.701.37–4.684.31–11.38safer2.40–7.250.88–5.173.28–12.42
Corners
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.223.759.97safe4.01–8.441.75–5.755.76–14.19safer3.44–9.011.22–6.284.65–15.29
Possession %
62%
33%
homeawayprediction53.2146.87safe46.42–60.0040.08–53.65safer44.75–61.6738.41–55.32
Passes
67%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction436384820safe369–503318–451686–954safer351–521300–468651–990
Pass accuracy %
40%
55%
homeawayprediction71.3972.89safe67.36–75.4268.56–77.21safer66.07–76.7167.25–78.52
Fouls
35%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5813.0424.62safe8.74–14.4210.09–15.9818.84–30.40safer7.99–15.189.34–16.7317.33–31.90
Offsides
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.933.79safe0.70–3.020.83–3.021.53–6.04safer0.40–3.320.55–3.310.94–6.63
Yellow cards
26%
18%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.752.584.33safe0.70–2.801.45–3.712.16–6.51safer0.44–3.071.16–4.001.60–7.07
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.120.18safe0.00–0.220.00–0.310.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.413.636.04safe0.98–3.852.07–5.183.05–9.03safer0.59–4.241.64–5.612.23–9.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.90 0.93–2.87 0.68–3.12 | 1.11 0.26–1.96 0.03–2.19 | 3.01 1.19–4.83 0.71–5.31 | 56% 22% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.64 3.77–7.50 3.28–7.99 | 3.63 1.88–5.37 1.42–5.83 | 9.26 5.66–12.87 4.70–13.82 | 69% 20% |
| Total shots | 18.39 14.46–22.31 13.37–23.40 | 10.54 6.97–14.10 6.02–15.06 | 28.92 21.44–36.41 19.39–38.46 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 11.45 8.50–14.39 7.67–15.22 | 6.59 3.91–9.27 3.17–10.01 | 18.04 12.41–23.66 10.85–25.23 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 4.82 2.94–6.70 2.40–7.25 | 3.03 1.37–4.68 0.88–5.17 | 7.85 4.31–11.38 3.28–12.42 | 68% 20% |
| Corners | 6.22 4.01–8.44 3.44–9.01 | 3.75 1.75–5.75 1.22–6.28 | 9.97 5.76–14.19 4.65–15.29 | 73% 17% |
| Possession % | 53.21 46.42–60.00 44.75–61.67 | 46.87 40.08–53.65 38.41–55.32 | — | 62% 33% |
| Passes | 436 369–503 351–521 | 384 318–451 300–468 | 820 686–954 651–990 | 67% 33% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.39 67.36–75.42 66.07–76.71 | 72.89 68.56–77.21 67.25–78.52 | — | 40% 55% |
| Fouls | 11.58 8.74–14.42 7.99–15.18 | 13.04 10.09–15.98 9.34–16.73 | 24.62 18.84–30.40 17.33–31.90 | 35% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.40–3.32 | 1.93 0.83–3.02 0.55–3.31 | 3.79 1.53–6.04 0.94–6.63 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.75 0.70–2.80 0.44–3.07 | 2.58 1.45–3.71 1.16–4.00 | 4.33 2.16–6.51 1.60–7.07 | 26% 18% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.41 0.98–3.85 0.59–4.24 | 3.63 2.07–5.18 1.64–5.61 | 6.04 3.05–9.03 2.23–9.84 | 24% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.