Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
24%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.311.612.92safe0.34–2.280.76–2.471.10–4.75safer0.09–2.530.53–2.690.62–5.23
Shots on target
35%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction4.585.299.87safe2.72–6.443.55–7.046.27–13.48safer2.23–6.933.09–7.505.31–14.43
Total shots
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1614.8528.01safe9.24–17.0911.29–18.4120.52–35.50safer8.14–18.1810.33–19.3718.47–37.55
Shots in box
31%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction8.7510.4019.15safe5.81–11.697.71–13.0813.52–24.77safer4.98–12.526.98–13.8111.96–26.34
Blocked shots
39%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.623.917.53safe1.74–5.512.25–5.564.00–11.07safer1.20–6.051.76–6.052.96–12.10
Corners
36%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction4.835.4910.32safe2.61–7.043.49–7.496.10–14.53safer2.04–7.612.96–8.025.00–15.64
Possession %
47%
49%
homeawayprediction50.3250.69safe43.53–57.1143.91–57.48safer41.86–58.7842.24–59.15
Passes
47%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction411420831safe344–478353–486697–964safer325–496336–504661–1000
Pass accuracy %
30%
65%
homeawayprediction68.1271.65safe64.09–72.1567.33–75.98safer62.80–73.4566.02–77.29
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7511.7024.45safe9.91–15.588.76–14.6518.67–30.23safer9.15–16.348.01–15.4017.16–31.74
Offsides
42%
20%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.172.064.22safe1.01–3.330.96–3.151.97–6.48safer0.71–3.630.67–3.441.38–7.07
Yellow cards
43%
20%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.262.134.39safe1.21–3.311.00–3.262.21–6.57safer0.94–3.570.71–3.551.65–7.12
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.090.21safe0.00–0.280.00–0.280.00–0.56safer0.00–0.430.00–0.410.00–0.84
GK saves
47%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.473.136.60safe2.03–4.901.58–4.693.61–9.59safer1.64–5.291.15–5.122.80–10.40
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.31 0.34–2.28 0.09–2.53 | 1.61 0.76–2.47 0.53–2.69 | 2.92 1.10–4.75 0.62–5.23 | 31% 24% 44% |
| Shots on target | 4.58 2.72–6.44 2.23–6.93 | 5.29 3.55–7.04 3.09–7.50 | 9.87 6.27–13.48 5.31–14.43 | 35% 53% |
| Total shots | 13.16 9.24–17.09 8.14–18.18 | 14.85 11.29–18.41 10.33–19.37 | 28.01 20.52–35.50 18.47–37.55 | 34% 59% |
| Shots in box | 8.75 5.81–11.69 4.98–12.52 | 10.40 7.71–13.08 6.98–13.81 | 19.15 13.52–24.77 11.96–26.34 | 31% 60% |
| Blocked shots | 3.62 1.74–5.51 1.20–6.05 | 3.91 2.25–5.56 1.76–6.05 | 7.53 4.00–11.07 2.96–12.10 | 39% 15% 47% |
| Corners | 4.83 2.61–7.04 2.04–7.61 | 5.49 3.49–7.49 2.96–8.02 | 10.32 6.10–14.53 5.00–15.64 | 36% 52% |
| Possession % | 50.32 43.53–57.11 41.86–58.78 | 50.69 43.91–57.48 42.24–59.15 | — | 47% 49% |
| Passes | 411 344–478 325–496 | 420 353–486 336–504 | 831 697–964 661–1000 | 47% 53% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.12 64.09–72.15 62.80–73.45 | 71.65 67.33–75.98 66.02–77.29 | — | 30% 65% |
| Fouls | 12.75 9.91–15.58 9.15–16.34 | 11.70 8.76–14.65 8.01–15.40 | 24.45 18.67–30.23 17.16–31.74 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.17 1.01–3.33 0.71–3.63 | 2.06 0.96–3.15 0.67–3.44 | 4.22 1.97–6.48 1.38–7.07 | 42% 20% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 2.26 1.21–3.31 0.94–3.57 | 2.13 1.00–3.26 0.71–3.55 | 4.39 2.21–6.57 1.65–7.12 | 43% 20% 38% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.21 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.84 | 82% |
| GK saves | 3.47 2.03–4.90 1.64–5.29 | 3.13 1.58–4.69 1.15–5.12 | 6.60 3.61–9.59 2.80–10.40 | 47% 16% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.