Championship·Regular Season - 13·
Championship·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
25%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.522.89safe0.40–2.340.66–2.371.07–4.71safer0.15–2.590.44–2.600.59–5.19
Shots on target
36%
13%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.124.648.76safe2.26–5.982.90–6.395.16–12.37safer1.77–6.472.44–6.854.20–13.32
Total shots
37%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2813.5325.81safe8.36–16.219.97–17.0918.32–33.30safer7.27–17.309.01–18.0516.27–35.35
Shots in box
27%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction7.539.5917.12safe4.59–10.476.91–12.2711.50–22.74safer3.76–11.306.17–13.019.93–24.31
Blocked shots
46%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.253.016.26safe1.36–5.131.36–4.672.72–9.79safer0.82–5.670.87–5.161.69–10.83
Corners
43%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction5.235.3310.56safe3.02–7.443.33–7.336.34–14.77safer2.44–8.022.80–7.865.24–15.88
Possession %
52%
44%
homeawayprediction51.1249.47safe44.33–57.9142.68–56.25safer42.66–59.5841.01–57.92
Passes
69%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction441381822safe374–509314–447688–956safer356–527297–465653–991
Pass accuracy %
30%
66%
homeawayprediction64.4668.06safe60.43–68.4963.74–72.39safer59.13–69.7862.43–73.70
Fouls
65%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8110.4423.25safe9.97–15.657.49–13.3817.47–29.03safer9.22–16.416.75–14.1315.96–30.54
Offsides
14%
13%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction1.603.425.02safe0.44–2.762.33–4.522.77–7.27safer0.13–3.062.04–4.812.18–7.86
Yellow cards
46%
21%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.991.673.66safe0.94–3.040.54–2.801.48–5.83safer0.67–3.300.25–3.090.92–6.39
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.212.655.86safe1.77–4.641.10–4.212.87–8.85safer1.38–5.030.67–4.632.06–9.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.37 0.40–2.34 0.15–2.59 | 1.52 0.66–2.37 0.44–2.60 | 2.89 1.07–4.71 0.59–5.19 | 34% 25% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.12 2.26–5.98 1.77–6.47 | 4.64 2.90–6.39 2.44–6.85 | 8.76 5.16–12.37 4.20–13.32 | 36% 13% 50% |
| Total shots | 12.28 8.36–16.21 7.27–17.30 | 13.53 9.97–17.09 9.01–18.05 | 25.81 18.32–33.30 16.27–35.35 | 37% 56% |
| Shots in box | 7.53 4.59–10.47 3.76–11.30 | 9.59 6.91–12.27 6.17–13.01 | 17.12 11.50–22.74 9.93–24.31 | 27% 65% |
| Blocked shots | 3.25 1.36–5.13 0.82–5.67 | 3.01 1.36–4.67 0.87–5.16 | 6.26 2.72–9.79 1.69–10.83 | 46% 16% 38% |
| Corners | 5.23 3.02–7.44 2.44–8.02 | 5.33 3.33–7.33 2.80–7.86 | 10.56 6.34–14.77 5.24–15.88 | 43% 45% |
| Possession % | 51.12 44.33–57.91 42.66–59.58 | 49.47 42.68–56.25 41.01–57.92 | — | 52% 44% |
| Passes | 441 374–509 356–527 | 381 314–447 297–465 | 822 688–956 653–991 | 69% 30% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.46 60.43–68.49 59.13–69.78 | 68.06 63.74–72.39 62.43–73.70 | — | 30% 66% |
| Fouls | 12.81 9.97–15.65 9.22–16.41 | 10.44 7.49–13.38 6.75–14.13 | 23.25 17.47–29.03 15.96–30.54 | 65% 28% |
| Offsides | 1.60 0.44–2.76 0.13–3.06 | 3.42 2.33–4.52 2.04–4.81 | 5.02 2.77–7.27 2.18–7.86 | 14% 13% 72% |
| Yellow cards | 1.99 0.94–3.04 0.67–3.30 | 1.67 0.54–2.80 0.25–3.09 | 3.66 1.48–5.83 0.92–6.39 | 46% 21% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.21 1.77–4.64 1.38–5.03 | 2.65 1.10–4.21 0.67–4.63 | 5.86 2.87–8.85 2.06–9.67 | 51% 16% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+