Championship·Regular Season - 27·
Championship·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
54%
23%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction1.831.102.93safe0.86–2.800.25–1.961.11–4.75safer0.61–3.050.02–2.180.63–5.23
Shots on target
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.413.458.86safe3.55–7.271.71–5.205.26–12.47safer3.06–7.761.24–5.664.30–13.42
Total shots
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction14.9610.3725.33safe11.03–18.886.81–13.9317.84–32.82safer9.94–19.985.85–14.8915.79–34.87
Shots in box
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction10.436.8617.29safe7.49–13.374.18–9.5411.66–22.91safer6.66–14.203.44–10.2810.10–24.48
Blocked shots
54%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.903.167.06safe2.02–5.781.50–4.813.52–10.59safer1.48–6.331.01–5.302.49–11.63
Corners
68%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction6.424.3610.78safe4.21–8.642.36–6.366.57–15.00safer3.64–9.211.83–6.895.46–16.11
Possession %
62%
34%
homeawayprediction53.0447.06safe46.25–59.8340.27–53.84safer44.58–61.5038.60–55.51
Passes
69%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction477417893safe410–544350–483760–1027safer391–562333–501724–1063
Pass accuracy %
34%
61%
homeawayprediction65.3467.99safe61.31–69.3763.66–72.31safer60.01–70.6662.35–73.62
Fouls
25%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction10.1912.9123.10safe7.35–13.039.97–15.8517.32–28.88safer6.60–13.799.22–16.6015.82–30.39
Offsides
74%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction3.391.484.86safe2.23–4.550.38–2.572.61–7.12safer1.93–4.850.09–2.862.02–7.71
Yellow cards
21%
21%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.192.093.28safe0.14–2.240.96–3.221.10–5.46safer0.00–2.500.67–3.510.54–6.01
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.280.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
21%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.343.816.15safe0.91–3.782.26–5.373.16–9.15safer0.52–4.171.83–5.792.35–9.96
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.83 0.86–2.80 0.61–3.05 | 1.10 0.25–1.96 0.02–2.18 | 2.93 1.11–4.75 0.63–5.23 | 54% 23% 23% |
| Shots on target | 5.41 3.55–7.27 3.06–7.76 | 3.45 1.71–5.20 1.24–5.66 | 8.86 5.26–12.47 4.30–13.42 | 69% 20% |
| Total shots | 14.96 11.03–18.88 9.94–19.98 | 10.37 6.81–13.93 5.85–14.89 | 25.33 17.84–32.82 15.79–34.87 | 79% 15% |
| Shots in box | 10.43 7.49–13.37 6.66–14.20 | 6.86 4.18–9.54 3.44–10.28 | 17.29 11.66–22.91 10.10–24.48 | 77% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 3.90 2.02–5.78 1.48–6.33 | 3.16 1.50–4.81 1.01–5.30 | 7.06 3.52–10.59 2.49–11.63 | 54% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 6.42 4.21–8.64 3.64–9.21 | 4.36 2.36–6.36 1.83–6.89 | 10.78 6.57–15.00 5.46–16.11 | 68% 22% |
| Possession % | 53.04 46.25–59.83 44.58–61.50 | 47.06 40.27–53.84 38.60–55.51 | — | 62% 34% |
| Passes | 477 410–544 391–562 | 417 350–483 333–501 | 893 760–1027 724–1063 | 69% 31% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.34 61.31–69.37 60.01–70.66 | 67.99 63.66–72.31 62.35–73.62 | — | 34% 61% |
| Fouls | 10.19 7.35–13.03 6.60–13.79 | 12.91 9.97–15.85 9.22–16.60 | 23.10 17.32–28.88 15.82–30.39 | 25% 68% |
| Offsides | 3.39 2.23–4.55 1.93–4.85 | 1.48 0.38–2.57 0.09–2.86 | 4.86 2.61–7.12 2.02–7.71 | 74% 13% |
| Yellow cards | 1.19 0.14–2.24 0.00–2.50 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 3.28 1.10–5.46 0.54–6.01 | 21% 21% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.34 0.91–3.78 0.52–4.17 | 3.81 2.26–5.37 1.83–5.79 | 6.15 3.16–9.15 2.35–9.96 | 21% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.