Championship·Regular Season - 13·
Championship·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
26%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.461.162.62safe0.49–2.430.31–2.020.80–4.44safer0.24–2.680.08–2.240.32–4.92
Shots on target
54%
13%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.763.958.71safe2.89–6.622.21–5.705.10–12.31safer2.40–7.111.74–6.164.15–13.27
Total shots
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9911.9425.93safe10.07–17.928.38–15.5118.45–33.42safer8.98–19.017.42–16.4616.40–35.47
Shots in box
55%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction9.188.1817.36safe6.24–12.125.49–10.8611.73–22.98safer5.41–12.954.76–11.5910.17–24.55
Blocked shots
53%
15%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction3.662.976.63safe1.78–5.541.32–4.623.10–10.17safer1.24–6.090.82–5.112.06–11.20
Corners
56%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.494.479.95safe3.27–7.702.47–6.475.74–14.17safer2.70–8.271.93–7.004.63–15.27
Possession %
64%
32%
homeawayprediction54.0746.97safe47.28–60.8640.19–53.76safer45.61–62.5338.52–55.43
Passes
78%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction493400893safe425–560334–467759–1027safer407–578316–484724–1062
Pass accuracy %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction69.6970.38safe65.66–73.7266.05–74.70safer64.37–75.0164.75–76.01
Fouls
45%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4210.4820.89safe7.58–13.257.53–13.4215.11–26.67safer6.82–14.016.78–14.1713.61–28.18
Offsides
32%
18%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.192.684.87safe1.03–3.351.59–3.772.61–7.12safer0.73–3.651.30–4.062.02–7.71
Yellow cards
37%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.813.54safe0.69–2.790.68–2.941.37–5.72safer0.42–3.050.39–3.230.81–6.28
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.260.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
33%
16%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.723.296.01safe1.29–4.161.74–4.853.02–9.01safer0.90–4.551.31–5.272.21–9.82
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.46 0.49–2.43 0.24–2.68 | 1.16 0.31–2.02 0.08–2.24 | 2.62 0.80–4.44 0.32–4.92 | 44% 26% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.76 2.89–6.62 2.40–7.11 | 3.95 2.21–5.70 1.74–6.16 | 8.71 5.10–12.31 4.15–13.27 | 54% 13% 33% |
| Total shots | 13.99 10.07–17.92 8.98–19.01 | 11.94 8.38–15.51 7.42–16.46 | 25.93 18.45–33.42 16.40–35.47 | 62% 31% |
| Shots in box | 9.18 6.24–12.12 5.41–12.95 | 8.18 5.49–10.86 4.76–11.59 | 17.36 11.73–22.98 10.17–24.55 | 55% 36% |
| Blocked shots | 3.66 1.78–5.54 1.24–6.09 | 2.97 1.32–4.62 0.82–5.11 | 6.63 3.10–10.17 2.06–11.20 | 53% 15% 32% |
| Corners | 5.49 3.27–7.70 2.70–8.27 | 4.47 2.47–6.47 1.93–7.00 | 9.95 5.74–14.17 4.63–15.27 | 56% 31% |
| Possession % | 54.07 47.28–60.86 45.61–62.53 | 46.97 40.19–53.76 38.52–55.43 | — | 64% 32% |
| Passes | 493 425–560 407–578 | 400 334–467 316–484 | 893 759–1027 724–1062 | 78% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.69 65.66–73.72 64.37–75.01 | 70.38 66.05–74.70 64.75–76.01 | — | 44% 51% |
| Fouls | 10.42 7.58–13.25 6.82–14.01 | 10.48 7.53–13.42 6.78–14.17 | 20.89 15.11–26.67 13.61–28.18 | 45% 46% |
| Offsides | 2.19 1.03–3.35 0.73–3.65 | 2.68 1.59–3.77 1.30–4.06 | 4.87 2.61–7.12 2.02–7.71 | 32% 18% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 1.74 0.69–2.79 0.42–3.05 | 1.81 0.68–2.94 0.39–3.23 | 3.54 1.37–5.72 0.81–6.28 | 37% 22% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.72 1.29–4.16 0.90–4.55 | 3.29 1.74–4.85 1.31–5.27 | 6.01 3.02–9.01 2.21–9.82 | 33% 16% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.