Championship·Regular Season - 27·
Championship·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
25%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.511.342.85safe0.54–2.480.49–2.201.03–4.68safer0.29–2.730.26–2.420.55–5.16
Shots on target
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.394.228.61safe2.53–6.252.47–5.965.00–12.21safer2.04–6.742.01–6.424.05–13.17
Total shots
62%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2112.2026.41safe10.28–18.138.64–15.7618.92–33.89safer9.19–19.227.68–16.7216.87–35.94
Shots in box
55%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction8.897.9216.81safe5.95–11.835.24–10.6011.19–22.43safer5.12–12.664.50–11.349.62–24.00
Blocked shots
42%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.673.677.34safe1.79–5.552.02–5.333.81–10.88safer1.25–6.101.53–5.822.77–11.92
Corners
53%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.354.639.98safe3.14–7.572.63–6.635.77–14.20safer2.56–8.142.10–7.164.66–15.30
Possession %
39%
57%
homeawayprediction47.9051.71safe41.11–54.6944.93–58.50safer39.44–56.3643.26–60.17
Passes
47%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction441449889safe373–508382–515756–1023safer355–526365–533720–1059
Pass accuracy %
24%
71%
homeawayprediction67.7172.57safe63.68–71.7468.24–76.89safer62.38–73.0366.94–78.20
Fouls
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction10.2610.7721.03safe7.43–13.107.83–13.7115.25–26.82safer6.67–13.867.08–14.4613.75–28.32
Offsides
51%
18%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction2.652.074.72safe1.49–3.810.98–3.162.47–6.97safer1.19–4.110.69–3.451.88–7.56
Yellow cards
32%
22%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.913.47safe0.50–2.600.78–3.041.29–5.64safer0.24–2.870.49–3.330.73–6.20
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
36%
17%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.773.095.86safe1.33–4.211.54–4.652.87–8.86safer0.95–4.591.11–5.072.06–9.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.51 0.54–2.48 0.29–2.73 | 1.34 0.49–2.20 0.26–2.42 | 2.85 1.03–4.68 0.55–5.16 | 41% 25% 34% |
| Shots on target | 4.39 2.53–6.25 2.04–6.74 | 4.22 2.47–5.96 2.01–6.42 | 8.61 5.00–12.21 4.05–13.17 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Total shots | 14.21 10.28–18.13 9.19–19.22 | 12.20 8.64–15.76 7.68–16.72 | 26.41 18.92–33.89 16.87–35.94 | 62% 31% |
| Shots in box | 8.89 5.95–11.83 5.12–12.66 | 7.92 5.24–10.60 4.50–11.34 | 16.81 11.19–22.43 9.62–24.00 | 55% 36% |
| Blocked shots | 3.67 1.79–5.55 1.25–6.10 | 3.67 2.02–5.33 1.53–5.82 | 7.34 3.81–10.88 2.77–11.92 | 42% 15% 43% |
| Corners | 5.35 3.14–7.57 2.56–8.14 | 4.63 2.63–6.63 2.10–7.16 | 9.98 5.77–14.20 4.66–15.30 | 53% 35% |
| Possession % | 47.90 41.11–54.69 39.44–56.36 | 51.71 44.93–58.50 43.26–60.17 | — | 39% 57% |
| Passes | 441 373–508 355–526 | 449 382–515 365–533 | 889 756–1023 720–1059 | 47% 53% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.71 63.68–71.74 62.38–73.03 | 72.57 68.24–76.89 66.94–78.20 | — | 24% 71% |
| Fouls | 10.26 7.43–13.10 6.67–13.86 | 10.77 7.83–13.71 7.08–14.46 | 21.03 15.25–26.82 13.75–28.32 | 41% 50% |
| Offsides | 2.65 1.49–3.81 1.19–4.11 | 2.07 0.98–3.16 0.69–3.45 | 4.72 2.47–6.97 1.88–7.56 | 51% 18% 31% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.50–2.60 0.24–2.87 | 1.91 0.78–3.04 0.49–3.33 | 3.47 1.29–5.64 0.73–6.20 | 32% 22% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.77 1.33–4.21 0.95–4.59 | 3.09 1.54–4.65 1.11–5.07 | 5.86 2.87–8.86 2.06–9.67 | 36% 17% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.