Championship·Regular Season - 13·
Championship·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
26%
26%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.041.522.56safe0.07–2.000.67–2.380.74–4.38safer0.00–2.260.44–2.610.26–4.86
Shots on target
32%
13%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction3.834.648.46safe1.96–5.692.90–6.384.86–12.07safer1.47–6.182.43–6.853.90–13.03
Total shots
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2613.8526.11safe8.33–16.1810.28–17.4118.62–33.59safer7.24–17.289.32–18.3716.57–35.64
Shots in box
31%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction8.079.6317.70safe5.13–11.026.94–12.3112.07–23.32safer4.30–11.846.21–13.0410.51–24.89
Blocked shots
29%
14%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction3.444.457.89safe1.56–5.332.80–6.104.36–11.43safer1.02–5.872.31–6.603.32–12.46
Corners
32%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.595.5610.15safe2.38–6.813.56–7.565.94–14.36safer1.81–7.383.02–8.094.83–15.47
Possession %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction44.1755.52safe37.38–50.9648.74–62.31safer35.71–52.6347.07–63.98
Passes
25%
75%
homeawaytotalprediction344425769safe277–411358–491635–903safer259–429341–509600–938
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction60.6669.81safe56.63–64.6965.49–74.13safer55.34–65.9864.18–75.44
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5511.9623.50safe8.71–14.399.01–14.9017.72–29.29safer7.96–15.148.26–15.6516.22–30.79
Offsides
56%
20%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.261.423.68safe1.10–3.420.33–2.521.43–5.93safer0.79–3.720.04–2.800.84–6.52
Yellow cards
45%
20%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.272.024.29safe1.22–3.310.89–3.152.11–6.47safer0.95–3.580.60–3.441.55–7.02
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.19safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
48%
17%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.162.755.91safe1.73–4.601.19–4.312.92–8.91safer1.34–4.990.77–4.732.11–9.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.04 0.07–2.00 0.00–2.26 | 1.52 0.67–2.38 0.44–2.61 | 2.56 0.74–4.38 0.26–4.86 | 26% 26% 49% |
| Shots on target | 3.83 1.96–5.69 1.47–6.18 | 4.64 2.90–6.38 2.43–6.85 | 8.46 4.86–12.07 3.90–13.03 | 32% 13% 54% |
| Total shots | 12.26 8.33–16.18 7.24–17.28 | 13.85 10.28–17.41 9.32–18.37 | 26.11 18.62–33.59 16.57–35.64 | 34% 58% |
| Shots in box | 8.07 5.13–11.02 4.30–11.84 | 9.63 6.94–12.31 6.21–13.04 | 17.70 12.07–23.32 10.51–24.89 | 31% 60% |
| Blocked shots | 3.44 1.56–5.33 1.02–5.87 | 4.45 2.80–6.10 2.31–6.60 | 7.89 4.36–11.43 3.32–12.46 | 29% 14% 57% |
| Corners | 4.59 2.38–6.81 1.81–7.38 | 5.56 3.56–7.56 3.02–8.09 | 10.15 5.94–14.36 4.83–15.47 | 32% 56% |
| Possession % | 44.17 37.38–50.96 35.71–52.63 | 55.52 48.74–62.31 47.07–63.98 | — | 23% 73% |
| Passes | 344 277–411 259–429 | 425 358–491 341–509 | 769 635–903 600–938 | 25% 75% |
| Pass accuracy % | 60.66 56.63–64.69 55.34–65.98 | 69.81 65.49–74.13 64.18–75.44 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 11.55 8.71–14.39 7.96–15.14 | 11.96 9.01–14.90 8.26–15.65 | 23.50 17.72–29.29 16.22–30.79 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 2.26 1.10–3.42 0.79–3.72 | 1.42 0.33–2.52 0.04–2.80 | 3.68 1.43–5.93 0.84–6.52 | 56% 20% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 2.27 1.22–3.31 0.95–3.58 | 2.02 0.89–3.15 0.60–3.44 | 4.29 2.11–6.47 1.55–7.02 | 45% 20% 36% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.16 1.73–4.60 1.34–4.99 | 2.75 1.19–4.31 0.77–4.73 | 5.91 2.92–8.91 2.11–9.72 | 48% 17% 35% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+