Championship·Regular Season - 27·
Championship·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
24%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.740.892.63safe0.77–2.710.04–1.750.81–4.45safer0.52–2.960.00–1.980.33–4.93
Shots on target
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5.533.198.71safe3.67–7.391.44–4.935.11–12.32safer3.18–7.880.98–5.394.15–13.28
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction16.619.8826.48safe12.68–20.536.31–13.4419.00–33.97safer11.59–21.625.36–14.4016.94–36.02
Shots in box
83%
homeawaytotalprediction10.986.5517.53safe8.04–13.923.87–9.2311.91–23.16safer7.21–14.753.13–9.9710.34–24.72
Blocked shots
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.822.667.48safe2.93–6.701.01–4.313.94–11.01safer2.39–7.240.52–4.812.91–12.05
Corners
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.923.7010.62safe4.71–9.141.70–5.706.41–14.83safer4.13–9.711.17–6.235.30–15.94
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction57.4542.29safe50.66–64.2435.51–49.08safer48.99–65.9133.83–50.75
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction461310771safe394–528243–376637–904safer376–547226–394601–940
Pass accuracy %
63%
32%
homeawayprediction68.2965.15safe64.26–72.3260.83–69.48safer62.97–73.6159.52–70.79
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4412.3523.79safe8.60–14.279.41–15.3018.00–29.57safer7.84–15.038.66–16.0416.50–31.07
Offsides
25%
20%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.432.203.64safe0.27–2.591.11–3.301.38–5.89safer0.00–2.900.82–3.580.79–6.48
Yellow cards
27%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.482.143.61safe0.43–2.531.01–3.261.44–5.79safer0.16–2.790.72–3.560.88–6.35
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.120.18safe0.00–0.220.00–0.310.00–0.53safer0.00–0.370.00–0.440.00–0.81
GK saves
21%
15%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.193.585.77safe0.75–3.622.03–5.142.78–8.76safer0.36–4.011.60–5.561.97–9.58
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.74 0.77–2.71 0.52–2.96 | 0.89 0.04–1.75 0.00–1.98 | 2.63 0.81–4.45 0.33–4.93 | 57% 24% 19% |
| Shots on target | 5.53 3.67–7.39 3.18–7.88 | 3.19 1.44–4.93 0.98–5.39 | 8.71 5.11–12.32 4.15–13.28 | 73% 16% |
| Total shots | 16.61 12.68–20.53 11.59–21.62 | 9.88 6.31–13.44 5.36–14.40 | 26.48 19.00–33.97 16.94–36.02 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 10.98 8.04–13.92 7.21–14.75 | 6.55 3.87–9.23 3.13–9.97 | 17.53 11.91–23.16 10.34–24.72 | 83% |
| Blocked shots | 4.82 2.93–6.70 2.39–7.24 | 2.66 1.01–4.31 0.52–4.81 | 7.48 3.94–11.01 2.91–12.05 | 73% 16% |
| Corners | 6.92 4.71–9.14 4.13–9.71 | 3.70 1.70–5.70 1.17–6.23 | 10.62 6.41–14.83 5.30–15.94 | 80% |
| Possession % | 57.45 50.66–64.24 48.99–65.91 | 42.29 35.51–49.08 33.83–50.75 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 461 394–528 376–547 | 310 243–376 226–394 | 771 637–904 601–940 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.29 64.26–72.32 62.97–73.61 | 65.15 60.83–69.48 59.52–70.79 | — | 63% 32% |
| Fouls | 11.44 8.60–14.27 7.84–15.03 | 12.35 9.41–15.30 8.66–16.04 | 23.79 18.00–29.57 16.50–31.07 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.43 0.27–2.59 0.00–2.90 | 2.20 1.11–3.30 0.82–3.58 | 3.64 1.38–5.89 0.79–6.48 | 25% 20% 55% |
| Yellow cards | 1.48 0.43–2.53 0.16–2.79 | 2.14 1.01–3.26 0.72–3.56 | 3.61 1.44–5.79 0.88–6.35 | 27% 21% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.19 0.75–3.62 0.36–4.01 | 3.58 2.03–5.14 1.60–5.56 | 5.77 2.78–8.76 1.97–9.58 | 21% 15% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+