Championship·Regular Season - 13·
Championship·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
22%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction1.840.732.57safe0.87–2.810.00–1.590.75–4.40safer0.62–3.060.00–1.820.27–4.88
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction5.652.788.43safe3.79–7.521.04–4.524.83–12.04safer3.30–8.000.57–4.993.87–12.99
Total shots
95%
homeawaytotalprediction17.108.5825.68safe13.18–21.025.02–12.1418.19–33.17safer12.08–22.124.06–13.1016.14–35.22
Shots in box
87%
homeawaytotalprediction11.306.1917.49safe8.36–14.253.51–8.8711.87–23.12safer7.53–15.082.77–9.6110.30–24.69
Blocked shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction5.892.688.57safe4.01–7.781.02–4.335.04–12.11safer3.47–8.320.53–4.824.00–13.14
Corners
82%
homeawaytotalprediction7.243.7110.94safe5.02–9.451.71–5.716.73–15.16safer4.45–10.021.17–6.245.62–16.26
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction67.2531.96safe60.46–74.0425.18–38.75safer58.79–75.7123.51–40.42
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction616281897safe549–683215–348763–1031safer530–701197–365728–1066
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction76.8665.06safe72.83–80.8960.74–69.38safer71.54–82.1859.43–70.69
Fouls
28%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction10.0512.2322.27safe7.21–12.889.28–15.1716.49–28.06safer6.45–13.648.53–15.9214.99–29.56
Offsides
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.682.003.67safe0.52–2.840.90–3.091.42–5.93safer0.21–3.140.61–3.380.83–6.52
Yellow cards
22%
21%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.232.113.33safe0.18–2.280.98–3.241.16–5.51safer0.00–2.540.69–3.530.60–6.07
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.12safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.75
GK saves
18%
14%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction2.023.705.72safe0.59–3.462.15–5.262.73–8.72safer0.20–3.851.72–5.681.92–9.53
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.84 0.87–2.81 0.62–3.06 | 0.73 0.00–1.59 0.00–1.82 | 2.57 0.75–4.40 0.27–4.88 | 64% 22% 14% |
| Shots on target | 5.65 3.79–7.52 3.30–8.00 | 2.78 1.04–4.52 0.57–4.99 | 8.43 4.83–12.04 3.87–12.99 | 79% |
| Total shots | 17.10 13.18–21.02 12.08–22.12 | 8.58 5.02–12.14 4.06–13.10 | 25.68 18.19–33.17 16.14–35.22 | 95% |
| Shots in box | 11.30 8.36–14.25 7.53–15.08 | 6.19 3.51–8.87 2.77–9.61 | 17.49 11.87–23.12 10.30–24.69 | 87% |
| Blocked shots | 5.89 4.01–7.78 3.47–8.32 | 2.68 1.02–4.33 0.53–4.82 | 8.57 5.04–12.11 4.00–13.14 | 83% |
| Corners | 7.24 5.02–9.45 4.45–10.02 | 3.71 1.71–5.71 1.17–6.24 | 10.94 6.73–15.16 5.62–16.26 | 82% |
| Possession % | 67.25 60.46–74.04 58.79–75.71 | 31.96 25.18–38.75 23.51–40.42 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 616 549–683 530–701 | 281 215–348 197–365 | 897 763–1031 728–1066 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.86 72.83–80.89 71.54–82.18 | 65.06 60.74–69.38 59.43–70.69 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 10.05 7.21–12.88 6.45–13.64 | 12.23 9.28–15.17 8.53–15.92 | 22.27 16.49–28.06 14.99–29.56 | 28% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.68 0.52–2.84 0.21–3.14 | 2.00 0.90–3.09 0.61–3.38 | 3.67 1.42–5.93 0.83–6.52 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.23 0.18–2.28 0.00–2.54 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.69–3.53 | 3.33 1.16–5.51 0.60–6.07 | 22% 21% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.02 0.59–3.46 0.20–3.85 | 3.70 2.15–5.26 1.72–5.68 | 5.72 2.73–8.72 1.92–9.53 | 18% 14% 69% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+