Championship·Regular Season - 27·
Championship·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
18%
22%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction0.891.842.72safe0.00–1.860.98–2.690.90–4.55safer0.00–2.110.75–2.920.42–5.03
Shots on target
22%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction3.264.928.18safe1.40–5.123.18–6.664.57–11.78safer0.91–5.612.71–7.133.62–12.74
Total shots
23%
71%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6713.8724.54safe6.74–14.5910.31–17.4317.05–32.02safer5.65–15.689.35–18.3915.00–34.07
Shots in box
23%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction7.129.6016.72safe4.18–10.076.92–12.2811.10–22.35safer3.35–10.906.18–13.029.53–23.91
Blocked shots
21%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction2.984.707.68safe1.10–4.863.05–6.354.14–11.21safer0.55–5.402.55–6.843.11–12.25
Corners
23%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction4.306.1510.45safe2.09–6.514.15–8.156.23–14.66safer1.51–7.093.61–8.685.13–15.77
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction34.5165.84safe27.72–41.3059.05–72.62safer26.05–42.9757.38–74.29
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction299561860safe232–366495–628726–994safer213–384477–645691–1029
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction62.1877.04safe58.15–66.2172.72–81.37safer56.86–67.5071.41–82.68
Fouls
53%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3510.4521.81safe8.52–14.197.51–13.4016.03–27.59safer7.76–14.956.76–14.1514.52–29.09
Offsides
45%
22%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.921.653.57safe0.76–3.080.55–2.741.31–5.82safer0.46–3.380.26–3.030.72–6.41
Yellow cards
45%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.583.45safe0.82–2.920.45–2.711.27–5.63safer0.55–3.180.16–3.000.71–6.18
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.250.00–0.47safer0.00–0.370.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
55%
17%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.122.295.41safe1.68–4.560.73–3.852.42–8.40safer1.30–4.940.31–4.271.61–9.22
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.89 0.00–1.86 0.00–2.11 | 1.84 0.98–2.69 0.75–2.92 | 2.72 0.90–4.55 0.42–5.03 | 18% 22% 60% |
| Shots on target | 3.26 1.40–5.12 0.91–5.61 | 4.92 3.18–6.66 2.71–7.13 | 8.18 4.57–11.78 3.62–12.74 | 22% 66% |
| Total shots | 10.67 6.74–14.59 5.65–15.68 | 13.87 10.31–17.43 9.35–18.39 | 24.54 17.05–32.02 15.00–34.07 | 23% 71% |
| Shots in box | 7.12 4.18–10.07 3.35–10.90 | 9.60 6.92–12.28 6.18–13.02 | 16.72 11.10–22.35 9.53–23.91 | 23% 69% |
| Blocked shots | 2.98 1.10–4.86 0.55–5.40 | 4.70 3.05–6.35 2.55–6.84 | 7.68 4.14–11.21 3.11–12.25 | 21% 67% |
| Corners | 4.30 2.09–6.51 1.51–7.09 | 6.15 4.15–8.15 3.61–8.68 | 10.45 6.23–14.66 5.13–15.77 | 23% 66% |
| Possession % | 34.51 27.72–41.30 26.05–42.97 | 65.84 59.05–72.62 57.38–74.29 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 299 232–366 213–384 | 561 495–628 477–645 | 860 726–994 691–1029 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.18 58.15–66.21 56.86–67.50 | 77.04 72.72–81.37 71.41–82.68 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 11.35 8.52–14.19 7.76–14.95 | 10.45 7.51–13.40 6.76–14.15 | 21.81 16.03–27.59 14.52–29.09 | 53% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.92 0.76–3.08 0.46–3.38 | 1.65 0.55–2.74 0.26–3.03 | 3.57 1.31–5.82 0.72–6.41 | 45% 22% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.87 0.82–2.92 0.55–3.18 | 1.58 0.45–2.71 0.16–3.00 | 3.45 1.27–5.63 0.71–6.18 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.12 1.68–4.56 1.30–4.94 | 2.29 0.73–3.85 0.31–4.27 | 5.41 2.42–8.40 1.61–9.22 | 55% 17% 28% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.