Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
28%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.261.152.41safe0.30–2.230.29–2.000.59–4.23safer0.05–2.480.06–2.230.11–4.71
Shots on target
49%
14%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction4.113.667.77safe2.25–5.981.92–5.404.17–11.38safer1.76–6.471.45–5.873.21–12.33
Total shots
73%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction13.7610.3124.07safe9.84–17.696.74–13.8716.58–31.56safer8.75–18.785.78–14.8314.53–33.61
Shots in box
67%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction9.507.2216.72safe6.55–12.444.54–9.9111.10–22.34safer5.73–13.273.81–10.649.53–23.91
Blocked shots
51%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.783.227.00safe1.90–5.661.57–4.883.46–10.53safer1.35–6.201.08–5.372.43–11.57
Corners
52%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.414.7710.18safe3.19–7.622.77–6.775.96–14.39safer2.62–8.192.24–7.304.86–15.50
Possession %
40%
56%
homeawayprediction48.7852.17safe41.99–55.5745.39–58.96safer40.32–57.2443.72–60.63
Passes
45%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction377392769safe310–445325–458635–903safer292–463308–476599–938
Pass accuracy %
22%
75%
homeawayprediction61.4867.09safe57.45–65.5162.77–71.42safer56.16–66.8161.46–72.73
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2112.4023.61safe8.37–14.049.46–15.3517.83–29.39safer7.61–14.808.71–16.1016.32–30.90
Offsides
42%
22%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.871.723.59safe0.71–3.030.63–2.811.34–5.85safer0.41–3.330.34–3.100.75–6.44
Yellow cards
23%
20%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.362.183.53safe0.31–2.411.05–3.311.36–5.71safer0.04–2.670.76–3.600.80–6.27
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
35%
18%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.482.865.34safe1.05–3.921.30–4.422.35–8.34safer0.66–4.310.88–4.841.54–9.15
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.26 0.30–2.23 0.05–2.48 | 1.15 0.29–2.00 0.06–2.23 | 2.41 0.59–4.23 0.11–4.71 | 39% 28% 33% |
| Shots on target | 4.11 2.25–5.98 1.76–6.47 | 3.66 1.92–5.40 1.45–5.87 | 7.77 4.17–11.38 3.21–12.33 | 49% 14% 36% |
| Total shots | 13.76 9.84–17.69 8.75–18.78 | 10.31 6.74–13.87 5.78–14.83 | 24.07 16.58–31.56 14.53–33.61 | 73% 21% |
| Shots in box | 9.50 6.55–12.44 5.73–13.27 | 7.22 4.54–9.91 3.81–10.64 | 16.72 11.10–22.34 9.53–23.91 | 67% 25% |
| Blocked shots | 3.78 1.90–5.66 1.35–6.20 | 3.22 1.57–4.88 1.08–5.37 | 7.00 3.46–10.53 2.43–11.57 | 51% 15% 34% |
| Corners | 5.41 3.19–7.62 2.62–8.19 | 4.77 2.77–6.77 2.24–7.30 | 10.18 5.96–14.39 4.86–15.50 | 52% 36% |
| Possession % | 48.78 41.99–55.57 40.32–57.24 | 52.17 45.39–58.96 43.72–60.63 | — | 40% 56% |
| Passes | 377 310–445 292–463 | 392 325–458 308–476 | 769 635–903 599–938 | 45% 55% |
| Pass accuracy % | 61.48 57.45–65.51 56.16–66.81 | 67.09 62.77–71.42 61.46–72.73 | — | 22% 75% |
| Fouls | 11.21 8.37–14.04 7.61–14.80 | 12.40 9.46–15.35 8.71–16.10 | 23.61 17.83–29.39 16.32–30.90 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.87 0.71–3.03 0.41–3.33 | 1.72 0.63–2.81 0.34–3.10 | 3.59 1.34–5.85 0.75–6.44 | 42% 22% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.36 0.31–2.41 0.04–2.67 | 2.18 1.05–3.31 0.76–3.60 | 3.53 1.36–5.71 0.80–6.27 | 23% 20% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.48 1.05–3.92 0.66–4.31 | 2.86 1.30–4.42 0.88–4.84 | 5.34 2.35–8.34 1.54–9.15 | 35% 18% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.