Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
27%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.072.44safe0.40–2.340.22–1.920.62–4.26safer0.15–2.590.00–2.150.14–4.74
Shots on target
45%
15%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction3.973.787.74safe2.10–5.832.04–5.524.14–11.35safer1.62–6.321.57–5.993.18–12.31
Total shots
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5411.8024.34safe8.62–16.478.23–15.3616.85–31.83safer7.53–17.567.28–16.3214.80–33.88
Shots in box
49%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction8.357.9416.29safe5.41–11.305.26–10.6210.67–21.92safer4.58–12.124.52–11.369.10–23.48
Blocked shots
43%
15%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.863.847.70safe1.98–5.742.19–5.494.16–11.23safer1.43–6.281.69–5.983.13–12.27
Corners
55%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.754.8410.58safe3.53–7.962.84–6.846.37–14.80safer2.96–8.532.30–7.375.26–15.90
Possession %
67%
29%
homeawayprediction53.7745.18safe46.98–60.5638.40–51.97safer45.31–62.2336.73–53.64
Passes
75%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction418335753safe350–485269–402619–887safer332–503251–419583–922
Pass accuracy %
42%
52%
homeawayprediction64.8365.81safe60.80–68.8661.48–70.13safer59.51–70.1660.17–71.44
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4412.3423.79safe8.61–14.289.40–15.2918.01–29.57safer7.85–15.048.65–16.0416.50–31.08
Offsides
34%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.742.013.75safe0.58–2.900.92–3.111.50–6.01safer0.28–3.200.63–3.390.91–6.60
Yellow cards
37%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.773.48safe0.66–2.750.65–2.901.30–5.66safer0.39–3.020.35–3.200.75–6.22
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
38%
18%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.452.595.03safe1.01–3.881.03–4.142.04–8.02safer0.62–4.270.60–4.571.23–8.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.37 0.40–2.34 0.15–2.59 | 1.07 0.22–1.92 0.00–2.15 | 2.44 0.62–4.26 0.14–4.74 | 44% 27% 29% |
| Shots on target | 3.97 2.10–5.83 1.62–6.32 | 3.78 2.04–5.52 1.57–5.99 | 7.74 4.14–11.35 3.18–12.31 | 45% 15% 40% |
| Total shots | 12.54 8.62–16.47 7.53–17.56 | 11.80 8.23–15.36 7.28–16.32 | 24.34 16.85–31.83 14.80–33.88 | 52% 40% |
| Shots in box | 8.35 5.41–11.30 4.58–12.12 | 7.94 5.26–10.62 4.52–11.36 | 16.29 10.67–21.92 9.10–23.48 | 49% 41% |
| Blocked shots | 3.86 1.98–5.74 1.43–6.28 | 3.84 2.19–5.49 1.69–5.98 | 7.70 4.16–11.23 3.13–12.27 | 43% 15% 42% |
| Corners | 5.75 3.53–7.96 2.96–8.53 | 4.84 2.84–6.84 2.30–7.37 | 10.58 6.37–14.80 5.26–15.90 | 55% 33% |
| Possession % | 53.77 46.98–60.56 45.31–62.23 | 45.18 38.40–51.97 36.73–53.64 | — | 67% 29% |
| Passes | 418 350–485 332–503 | 335 269–402 251–419 | 753 619–887 583–922 | 75% 24% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.83 60.80–68.86 59.51–70.16 | 65.81 61.48–70.13 60.17–71.44 | — | 42% 52% |
| Fouls | 11.44 8.61–14.28 7.85–15.04 | 12.34 9.40–15.29 8.65–16.04 | 23.79 18.01–29.57 16.50–31.08 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 2.01 0.92–3.11 0.63–3.39 | 3.75 1.50–6.01 0.91–6.60 | 34% 21% 45% |
| Yellow cards | 1.71 0.66–2.75 0.39–3.02 | 1.77 0.65–2.90 0.35–3.20 | 3.48 1.30–5.66 0.75–6.22 | 37% 22% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.45 1.01–3.88 0.62–4.27 | 2.59 1.03–4.14 0.60–4.57 | 5.03 2.04–8.02 1.23–8.84 | 38% 18% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.