Predicted match statistics
Goals
66%
18%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.381.073.45safe1.41–3.350.22–1.931.63–5.28safer1.16–3.600.00–2.151.15–5.76
Shots on target
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.333.599.92safe4.47–8.191.85–5.336.31–13.52safer3.98–8.681.38–5.805.36–14.48
Total shots
89%
homeawaytotalprediction17.3610.5527.90safe13.43–21.286.98–14.1120.42–35.39safer12.34–22.376.02–15.0718.36–37.44
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction12.087.1219.20safe9.14–15.024.44–9.8013.58–24.82safer8.31–15.853.70–10.5412.01–26.39
Blocked shots
73%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction4.742.597.34safe2.86–6.620.94–4.253.80–10.87safer2.32–7.170.45–4.742.76–11.91
Corners
79%
homeawaytotalprediction6.773.6410.41safe4.56–8.991.64–5.646.19–14.62safer3.99–9.561.10–6.175.09–15.73
Possession %
75%
21%
homeawayprediction56.2643.83safe49.47–63.0537.04–50.61safer47.80–64.7235.37–52.29
Passes
83%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction483369852safe415–550303–435718–985safer397–568285–453682–1021
Pass accuracy %
66%
29%
homeawayprediction73.8970.21safe69.86–77.9265.89–74.54safer68.57–79.2164.58–75.84
Fouls
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4412.4722.92safe7.61–13.289.53–15.4217.13–28.70safer6.85–14.048.78–16.1615.63–30.20
Offsides
26%
17%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction2.093.045.13safe0.93–3.251.95–4.142.88–7.39safer0.63–3.551.66–4.422.29–7.98
Yellow cards
25%
20%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.552.333.88safe0.50–2.601.20–3.461.70–6.06safer0.23–2.860.91–3.751.14–6.61
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
20%
14%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction2.363.946.30safe0.93–3.802.38–5.503.31–9.29safer0.54–4.191.96–5.922.50–10.11
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.38 1.41–3.35 1.16–3.60 | 1.07 0.22–1.93 0.00–2.15 | 3.45 1.63–5.28 1.15–5.76 | 66% 18% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.33 4.47–8.19 3.98–8.68 | 3.59 1.85–5.33 1.38–5.80 | 9.92 6.31–13.52 5.36–14.48 | 76% 15% |
| Total shots | 17.36 13.43–21.28 12.34–22.37 | 10.55 6.98–14.11 6.02–15.07 | 27.90 20.42–35.39 18.36–37.44 | 89% |
| Shots in box | 12.08 9.14–15.02 8.31–15.85 | 7.12 4.44–9.80 3.70–10.54 | 19.20 13.58–24.82 12.01–26.39 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 4.74 2.86–6.62 2.32–7.17 | 2.59 0.94–4.25 0.45–4.74 | 7.34 3.80–10.87 2.76–11.91 | 73% 16% |
| Corners | 6.77 4.56–8.99 3.99–9.56 | 3.64 1.64–5.64 1.10–6.17 | 10.41 6.19–14.62 5.09–15.73 | 79% |
| Possession % | 56.26 49.47–63.05 47.80–64.72 | 43.83 37.04–50.61 35.37–52.29 | — | 75% 21% |
| Passes | 483 415–550 397–568 | 369 303–435 285–453 | 852 718–985 682–1021 | 83% 17% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.89 69.86–77.92 68.57–79.21 | 70.21 65.89–74.54 64.58–75.84 | — | 66% 29% |
| Fouls | 10.44 7.61–13.28 6.85–14.04 | 12.47 9.53–15.42 8.78–16.16 | 22.92 17.13–28.70 15.63–30.20 | 30% 62% |
| Offsides | 2.09 0.93–3.25 0.63–3.55 | 3.04 1.95–4.14 1.66–4.42 | 5.13 2.88–7.39 2.29–7.98 | 26% 17% 58% |
| Yellow cards | 1.55 0.50–2.60 0.23–2.86 | 2.33 1.20–3.46 0.91–3.75 | 3.88 1.70–6.06 1.14–6.61 | 25% 20% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.36 0.93–3.80 0.54–4.19 | 3.94 2.38–5.50 1.96–5.92 | 6.30 3.31–9.29 2.50–10.11 | 20% 14% 66% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.