Predicted match statistics
Goals
23%
22%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.201.993.19safe0.23–2.171.14–2.851.37–5.01safer0.00–2.420.91–3.080.89–5.49
Shots on target
31%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction4.265.269.52safe2.39–6.123.52–7.005.91–13.12safer1.91–6.613.05–7.474.96–14.08
Total shots
30%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6814.9827.66safe8.76–16.6111.42–18.5420.18–35.15safer7.67–17.7010.46–19.5018.12–37.20
Shots in box
30%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction8.3810.1518.53safe5.43–11.327.47–12.8312.90–24.15safer4.60–12.156.73–13.5711.34–25.72
Blocked shots
30%
14%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction3.494.447.93safe1.60–5.372.79–6.104.39–11.46safer1.06–5.912.30–6.593.36–12.50
Corners
33%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.625.5010.13safe2.41–6.843.50–7.505.91–14.34safer1.84–7.412.97–8.044.80–15.45
Possession %
34%
62%
homeawayprediction47.5253.63safe40.73–54.3146.85–60.42safer39.06–55.9845.18–62.09
Passes
30%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction386448834safe319–453381–514700–968safer301–471364–532665–1003
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction65.5074.82safe61.47–69.5370.49–79.14safer60.18–70.8269.19–80.45
Fouls
64%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction12.139.9122.04safe9.29–14.976.96–12.8516.25–27.82safer8.54–15.726.21–13.6014.75–29.32
Offsides
59%
16%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.342.275.61safe2.18–4.501.18–3.363.36–7.87safer1.88–4.800.89–3.652.77–8.45
Yellow cards
45%
20%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.171.894.06safe1.12–3.220.76–3.011.88–6.24safer0.86–3.490.47–3.311.32–6.79
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.362.776.13safe1.92–4.791.22–4.333.14–9.12safer1.53–5.180.79–4.752.32–9.93
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.20 0.23–2.17 0.00–2.42 | 1.99 1.14–2.85 0.91–3.08 | 3.19 1.37–5.01 0.89–5.49 | 23% 22% 56% |
| Shots on target | 4.26 2.39–6.12 1.91–6.61 | 5.26 3.52–7.00 3.05–7.47 | 9.52 5.91–13.12 4.96–14.08 | 31% 56% |
| Total shots | 12.68 8.76–16.61 7.67–17.70 | 14.98 11.42–18.54 10.46–19.50 | 27.66 20.18–35.15 18.12–37.20 | 30% 63% |
| Shots in box | 8.38 5.43–11.32 4.60–12.15 | 10.15 7.47–12.83 6.73–13.57 | 18.53 12.90–24.15 11.34–25.72 | 30% 62% |
| Blocked shots | 3.49 1.60–5.37 1.06–5.91 | 4.44 2.79–6.10 2.30–6.59 | 7.93 4.39–11.46 3.36–12.50 | 30% 14% 56% |
| Corners | 4.62 2.41–6.84 1.84–7.41 | 5.50 3.50–7.50 2.97–8.04 | 10.13 5.91–14.34 4.80–15.45 | 33% 55% |
| Possession % | 47.52 40.73–54.31 39.06–55.98 | 53.63 46.85–60.42 45.18–62.09 | — | 34% 62% |
| Passes | 386 319–453 301–471 | 448 381–514 364–532 | 834 700–968 665–1003 | 30% 70% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.50 61.47–69.53 60.18–70.82 | 74.82 70.49–79.14 69.19–80.45 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 12.13 9.29–14.97 8.54–15.72 | 9.91 6.96–12.85 6.21–13.60 | 22.04 16.25–27.82 14.75–29.32 | 64% 28% |
| Offsides | 3.34 2.18–4.50 1.88–4.80 | 2.27 1.18–3.36 0.89–3.65 | 5.61 3.36–7.87 2.77–8.45 | 59% 16% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 2.17 1.12–3.22 0.86–3.49 | 1.89 0.76–3.01 0.47–3.31 | 4.06 1.88–6.24 1.32–6.79 | 45% 20% 34% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.36 1.92–4.79 1.53–5.18 | 2.77 1.22–4.33 0.79–4.75 | 6.13 3.14–9.12 2.32–9.93 | 51% 16% 33% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.