Championship·Regular Season - 13·
Championship·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
27%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.071.342.42safe0.10–2.040.49–2.200.59–4.24safer0.00–2.290.26–2.430.11–4.72
Shots on target
35%
14%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.684.267.94safe1.82–5.542.51–6.004.33–11.54safer1.33–6.032.05–6.473.38–12.50
Total shots
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5812.7824.36safe7.65–15.509.22–16.3516.87–31.85safer6.56–16.598.26–17.3114.82–33.90
Shots in box
28%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction7.269.1316.39safe4.32–10.216.45–11.8110.77–22.02safer3.49–11.035.71–12.559.20–23.58
Blocked shots
41%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.423.486.89safe1.53–5.301.83–5.133.36–10.43safer0.99–5.841.33–5.622.32–11.47
Corners
40%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.765.059.81safe2.55–6.983.05–7.055.60–14.02safer1.97–7.552.52–7.584.49–15.13
Possession %
32%
63%
homeawayprediction46.9653.75safe40.17–53.7546.97–60.54safer38.50–55.4245.29–62.21
Passes
36%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction436477913safe368–503411–544779–1047safer350–521393–561744–1082
Pass accuracy %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction65.8970.73safe61.86–69.9266.40–75.05safer60.57–71.2165.09–76.36
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2610.9022.16safe8.42–14.107.96–13.8516.38–27.94safer7.66–14.857.21–14.6014.87–29.45
Offsides
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.783.52safe0.58–2.900.69–2.881.27–5.77safer0.28–3.200.40–3.160.68–6.36
Yellow cards
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.733.68safe0.89–2.990.60–2.861.50–5.85safer0.63–3.260.31–3.150.94–6.41
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.78
GK saves
44%
18%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.692.555.24safe1.26–4.130.99–4.102.24–8.23safer0.87–4.520.56–4.531.43–9.04
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.07 0.10–2.04 0.00–2.29 | 1.34 0.49–2.20 0.26–2.43 | 2.42 0.59–4.24 0.11–4.72 | 30% 27% 43% |
| Shots on target | 3.68 1.82–5.54 1.33–6.03 | 4.26 2.51–6.00 2.05–6.47 | 7.94 4.33–11.54 3.38–12.50 | 35% 14% 51% |
| Total shots | 11.58 7.65–15.50 6.56–16.59 | 12.78 9.22–16.35 8.26–17.31 | 24.36 16.87–31.85 14.82–33.90 | 36% 56% |
| Shots in box | 7.26 4.32–10.21 3.49–11.03 | 9.13 6.45–11.81 5.71–12.55 | 16.39 10.77–22.02 9.20–23.58 | 28% 63% |
| Blocked shots | 3.42 1.53–5.30 0.99–5.84 | 3.48 1.83–5.13 1.33–5.62 | 6.89 3.36–10.43 2.32–11.47 | 41% 15% 43% |
| Corners | 4.76 2.55–6.98 1.97–7.55 | 5.05 3.05–7.05 2.52–7.58 | 9.81 5.60–14.02 4.49–15.13 | 40% 47% |
| Possession % | 46.96 40.17–53.75 38.50–55.42 | 53.75 46.97–60.54 45.29–62.21 | — | 32% 63% |
| Passes | 436 368–503 350–521 | 477 411–544 393–561 | 913 779–1047 744–1082 | 36% 63% |
| Pass accuracy % | 65.89 61.86–69.92 60.57–71.21 | 70.73 66.40–75.05 65.09–76.36 | — | 25% 71% |
| Fouls | 11.26 8.42–14.10 7.66–14.85 | 10.90 7.96–13.85 7.21–14.60 | 22.16 16.38–27.94 14.87–29.45 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.20 | 1.78 0.69–2.88 0.40–3.16 | 3.52 1.27–5.77 0.68–6.36 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.99 0.63–3.26 | 1.73 0.60–2.86 0.31–3.15 | 3.68 1.50–5.85 0.94–6.41 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.15 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.69 1.26–4.13 0.87–4.52 | 2.55 0.99–4.10 0.56–4.53 | 5.24 2.24–8.23 1.43–9.04 | 44% 18% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.