Championship·Regular Season - 27·
Championship·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
27%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.450.992.44safe0.48–2.420.13–1.840.61–4.26safer0.23–2.670.00–2.070.14–4.74
Shots on target
65%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction4.823.268.08safe2.96–6.691.52–5.004.48–11.69safer2.47–7.181.05–5.473.52–12.64
Total shots
72%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5510.1523.70safe9.63–17.486.59–13.7116.21–31.19safer8.54–18.575.63–14.6714.16–33.24
Shots in box
74%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction9.866.8016.65safe6.92–12.804.11–9.4811.03–22.28safer6.09–13.633.38–10.219.46–23.84
Blocked shots
60%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.892.716.60safe2.01–5.771.06–4.373.07–10.14safer1.46–6.320.57–4.862.03–11.17
Corners
67%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.873.999.87safe3.66–8.091.99–5.995.65–14.08safer3.09–8.661.46–6.524.54–15.19
Possession %
59%
37%
homeawayprediction52.0647.32safe45.27–58.8540.54–54.11safer43.60–60.5238.87–55.78
Passes
73%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction486412898safe419–553345–478764–1031safer401–571328–496728–1067
Pass accuracy %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction68.7069.69safe64.67–72.7365.36–74.01safer63.37–74.0264.06–75.32
Fouls
40%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7911.4322.22safe7.95–13.638.49–14.3816.44–28.01safer7.20–14.387.74–15.1314.94–29.51
Offsides
44%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.961.743.70safe0.80–3.120.65–2.831.45–5.95safer0.50–3.420.36–3.120.86–6.54
Yellow cards
27%
21%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction1.472.103.57safe0.42–2.520.97–3.231.39–5.74safer0.15–2.780.68–3.520.83–6.30
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
29%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.383.185.56safe0.95–3.821.62–4.742.57–8.55safer0.56–4.211.20–5.161.76–9.37
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.45 0.48–2.42 0.23–2.67 | 0.99 0.13–1.84 0.00–2.07 | 2.44 0.61–4.26 0.14–4.74 | 48% 27% 26% |
| Shots on target | 4.82 2.96–6.69 2.47–7.18 | 3.26 1.52–5.00 1.05–5.47 | 8.08 4.48–11.69 3.52–12.64 | 65% 23% |
| Total shots | 13.55 9.63–17.48 8.54–18.57 | 10.15 6.59–13.71 5.63–14.67 | 23.70 16.21–31.19 14.16–33.24 | 72% 21% |
| Shots in box | 9.86 6.92–12.80 6.09–13.63 | 6.80 4.11–9.48 3.38–10.21 | 16.65 11.03–22.28 9.46–23.84 | 74% 19% |
| Blocked shots | 3.89 2.01–5.77 1.46–6.32 | 2.71 1.06–4.37 0.57–4.86 | 6.60 3.07–10.14 2.03–11.17 | 60% 14% 25% |
| Corners | 5.87 3.66–8.09 3.09–8.66 | 3.99 1.99–5.99 1.46–6.52 | 9.87 5.65–14.08 4.54–15.19 | 67% 22% |
| Possession % | 52.06 45.27–58.85 43.60–60.52 | 47.32 40.54–54.11 38.87–55.78 | — | 59% 37% |
| Passes | 486 419–553 401–571 | 412 345–478 328–496 | 898 764–1031 728–1067 | 73% 27% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.70 64.67–72.73 63.37–74.02 | 69.69 65.36–74.01 64.06–75.32 | — | 42% 53% |
| Fouls | 10.79 7.95–13.63 7.20–14.38 | 11.43 8.49–14.38 7.74–15.13 | 22.22 16.44–28.01 14.94–29.51 | 40% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.96 0.80–3.12 0.50–3.42 | 1.74 0.65–2.83 0.36–3.12 | 3.70 1.45–5.95 0.86–6.54 | 44% 21% 35% |
| Yellow cards | 1.47 0.42–2.52 0.15–2.78 | 2.10 0.97–3.23 0.68–3.52 | 3.57 1.39–5.74 0.83–6.30 | 27% 21% 52% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.38 0.95–3.82 0.56–4.21 | 3.18 1.62–4.74 1.20–5.16 | 5.56 2.57–8.55 1.76–9.37 | 29% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.