Championship·Regular Season - 13·
Championship·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
64%
20%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.110.973.08safe1.14–3.080.12–1.831.26–4.90safer0.89–3.330.00–2.050.78–5.38
Shots on target
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.383.6710.04safe4.51–8.241.92–5.416.44–13.65safer4.02–8.731.46–5.875.48–14.60
Total shots
92%
homeawaytotalprediction19.6911.2530.94safe15.76–23.617.69–14.8223.46–38.43safer14.67–24.706.73–15.7821.41–40.48
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction12.387.2819.67safe9.44–15.334.60–9.9614.04–25.29safer8.61–16.153.86–10.7012.48–26.86
Blocked shots
67%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.133.328.45safe3.25–7.011.67–4.984.92–11.99safer2.70–7.561.18–5.473.88–13.02
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.523.7410.26safe4.30–8.731.74–5.746.05–14.47safer3.73–9.301.21–6.274.94–15.58
Possession %
88%
homeawayprediction60.1839.60safe53.39–66.9732.82–46.39safer51.72–68.6431.15–48.06
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction596372968safe528–663306–439834–1101safer510–681288–456798–1137
Pass accuracy %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction78.7772.72safe74.74–82.8068.40–77.05safer73.45–84.0967.09–78.36
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction10.4411.6222.07safe7.60–13.288.68–14.5716.28–27.85safer6.85–14.047.93–15.3214.78–29.35
Offsides
43%
24%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.403.04safe0.48–2.800.31–2.490.79–5.29safer0.18–3.100.02–2.780.20–5.88
Yellow cards
23%
20%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.352.173.53safe0.30–2.401.05–3.301.35–5.71safer0.04–2.670.75–3.590.79–6.26
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.090.13safe0.00–0.200.00–0.280.00–0.48safer0.00–0.350.00–0.410.00–0.76
GK saves
23%
14%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.644.016.66safe1.21–4.082.46–5.573.66–9.65safer0.82–4.472.03–5.992.85–10.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.11 1.14–3.08 0.89–3.33 | 0.97 0.12–1.83 0.00–2.05 | 3.08 1.26–4.90 0.78–5.38 | 64% 20% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.38 4.51–8.24 4.02–8.73 | 3.67 1.92–5.41 1.46–5.87 | 10.04 6.44–13.65 5.48–14.60 | 76% 15% |
| Total shots | 19.69 15.76–23.61 14.67–24.70 | 11.25 7.69–14.82 6.73–15.78 | 30.94 23.46–38.43 21.41–40.48 | 92% |
| Shots in box | 12.38 9.44–15.33 8.61–16.15 | 7.28 4.60–9.96 3.86–10.70 | 19.67 14.04–25.29 12.48–26.86 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 5.13 3.25–7.01 2.70–7.56 | 3.32 1.67–4.98 1.18–5.47 | 8.45 4.92–11.99 3.88–13.02 | 67% 21% |
| Corners | 6.52 4.30–8.73 3.73–9.30 | 3.74 1.74–5.74 1.21–6.27 | 10.26 6.05–14.47 4.94–15.58 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 60.18 53.39–66.97 51.72–68.64 | 39.60 32.82–46.39 31.15–48.06 | — | 88% |
| Passes | 596 528–663 510–681 | 372 306–439 288–456 | 968 834–1101 798–1137 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.77 74.74–82.80 73.45–84.09 | 72.72 68.40–77.05 67.09–78.36 | — | 76% 20% |
| Fouls | 10.44 7.60–13.28 6.85–14.04 | 11.62 8.68–14.57 7.93–15.32 | 22.07 16.28–27.85 14.78–29.35 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.64 0.48–2.80 0.18–3.10 | 1.40 0.31–2.49 0.02–2.78 | 3.04 0.79–5.29 0.20–5.88 | 43% 24% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.35 0.30–2.40 0.04–2.67 | 2.17 1.05–3.30 0.75–3.59 | 3.53 1.35–5.71 0.79–6.26 | 23% 20% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.64 1.21–4.08 0.82–4.47 | 4.01 2.46–5.57 2.03–5.99 | 6.66 3.66–9.65 2.85–10.46 | 23% 14% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.