Championship·Regular Season - 27·
Championship·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
28%
24%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.662.88safe0.25–2.190.81–2.521.06–4.70safer0.00–2.440.58–2.740.58–5.18
Shots on target
29%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction4.175.349.51safe2.31–6.033.60–7.095.91–13.12safer1.82–6.523.14–7.554.95–14.07
Total shots
42%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8114.3828.19safe9.88–17.7310.82–17.9420.70–35.68safer8.79–18.829.86–18.9018.65–37.73
Shots in box
36%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction8.849.8918.73safe5.90–11.797.21–12.5713.11–24.36safer5.07–12.626.47–13.3111.54–25.92
Blocked shots
44%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction4.094.018.10safe2.21–5.982.35–5.664.56–11.64safer1.67–6.521.86–6.153.53–12.67
Corners
41%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction4.945.1510.09safe2.73–7.153.15–7.155.87–14.30safer2.15–7.732.61–7.684.76–15.41
Possession %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction42.7058.43safe35.91–49.4951.65–65.22safer34.24–51.1649.98–66.89
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction401548949safe333–468482–615815–1082safer315–486464–632779–1118
Pass accuracy %
13%
84%
homeawayprediction70.7378.84safe66.70–74.7674.51–83.16safer65.41–76.0573.20–84.47
Fouls
49%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8710.4421.31safe8.03–13.707.49–13.3815.52–27.09safer7.27–14.466.75–14.1314.02–28.59
Offsides
41%
24%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.523.15safe0.47–2.790.43–2.610.90–5.40safer0.17–3.090.14–2.900.31–5.99
Yellow cards
43%
22%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.851.673.52safe0.80–2.900.54–2.801.34–5.70safer0.53–3.160.25–3.090.78–6.26
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
47%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.182.856.03safe1.75–4.621.29–4.413.04–9.03safer1.36–5.010.87–4.832.23–9.84
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.25–2.19 0.00–2.44 | 1.66 0.81–2.52 0.58–2.74 | 2.88 1.06–4.70 0.58–5.18 | 28% 24% 48% |
| Shots on target | 4.17 2.31–6.03 1.82–6.52 | 5.34 3.60–7.09 3.14–7.55 | 9.51 5.91–13.12 4.95–14.07 | 29% 59% |
| Total shots | 13.81 9.88–17.73 8.79–18.82 | 14.38 10.82–17.94 9.86–18.90 | 28.19 20.70–35.68 18.65–37.73 | 42% 51% |
| Shots in box | 8.84 5.90–11.79 5.07–12.62 | 9.89 7.21–12.57 6.47–13.31 | 18.73 13.11–24.36 11.54–25.92 | 36% 55% |
| Blocked shots | 4.09 2.21–5.98 1.67–6.52 | 4.01 2.35–5.66 1.86–6.15 | 8.10 4.56–11.64 3.53–12.67 | 44% 14% 42% |
| Corners | 4.94 2.73–7.15 2.15–7.73 | 5.15 3.15–7.15 2.61–7.68 | 10.09 5.87–14.30 4.76–15.41 | 41% 46% |
| Possession % | 42.70 35.91–49.49 34.24–51.16 | 58.43 51.65–65.22 49.98–66.89 | — | 16% 81% |
| Passes | 401 333–468 315–486 | 548 482–615 464–632 | 949 815–1082 779–1118 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.73 66.70–74.76 65.41–76.05 | 78.84 74.51–83.16 73.20–84.47 | — | 13% 84% |
| Fouls | 10.87 8.03–13.70 7.27–14.46 | 10.44 7.49–13.38 6.75–14.13 | 21.31 15.52–27.09 14.02–28.59 | 49% 42% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.17–3.09 | 1.52 0.43–2.61 0.14–2.90 | 3.15 0.90–5.40 0.31–5.99 | 41% 24% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.85 0.80–2.90 0.53–3.16 | 1.67 0.54–2.80 0.25–3.09 | 3.52 1.34–5.70 0.78–6.26 | 43% 22% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 3.18 1.75–4.62 1.36–5.01 | 2.85 1.29–4.41 0.87–4.83 | 6.03 3.04–9.03 2.23–9.84 | 47% 16% 36% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.