Championship·Regular Season - 13·
Championship·Regular Season - 13·Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
26%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.451.002.45safe0.48–2.420.14–1.850.62–4.27safer0.23–2.670.00–2.080.14–4.75
Shots on target
60%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.693.458.14safe2.83–6.561.71–5.194.54–11.75safer2.34–7.051.24–5.663.58–12.70
Total shots
78%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction14.6710.3825.05safe10.74–18.596.82–13.9417.56–32.54safer9.65–19.695.86–14.9015.51–34.59
Shots in box
73%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction9.816.8416.65safe6.87–12.754.16–9.5211.03–22.27safer6.04–13.583.42–10.269.46–23.84
Blocked shots
58%
14%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.002.966.97safe2.12–5.881.31–4.623.43–10.50safer1.58–6.430.82–5.112.40–11.54
Corners
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction6.204.1110.30safe3.98–8.412.11–6.116.09–14.52safer3.41–8.981.57–6.644.98–15.62
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.6040.67safe52.81–66.3933.88–47.45safer51.14–68.0632.21–49.12
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction500306806safe433–568239–372673–940safer415–586222–390637–976
Pass accuracy %
76%
20%
homeawayprediction70.4664.46safe66.43–74.4960.14–68.79safer65.14–75.7958.83–70.10
Fouls
39%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0511.8322.88safe8.21–13.898.88–14.7717.10–28.66safer7.46–14.648.14–15.5215.59–30.17
Offsides
58%
19%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction2.511.584.09safe1.35–3.670.49–2.681.84–6.34safer1.05–3.970.20–2.961.25–6.93
Yellow cards
25%
19%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.602.394.00safe0.55–2.651.26–3.521.82–6.18safer0.29–2.920.97–3.811.26–6.73
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
25%
16%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction2.273.345.61safe0.83–3.711.79–4.902.62–8.61safer0.45–4.091.36–5.331.81–9.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.45 0.48–2.42 0.23–2.67 | 1.00 0.14–1.85 0.00–2.08 | 2.45 0.62–4.27 0.14–4.75 | 48% 26% 26% |
| Shots on target | 4.69 2.83–6.56 2.34–7.05 | 3.45 1.71–5.19 1.24–5.66 | 8.14 4.54–11.75 3.58–12.70 | 60% 27% |
| Total shots | 14.67 10.74–18.59 9.65–19.69 | 10.38 6.82–13.94 5.86–14.90 | 25.05 17.56–32.54 15.51–34.59 | 78% 17% |
| Shots in box | 9.81 6.87–12.75 6.04–13.58 | 6.84 4.16–9.52 3.42–10.26 | 16.65 11.03–22.27 9.46–23.84 | 73% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 4.00 2.12–5.88 1.58–6.43 | 2.96 1.31–4.62 0.82–5.11 | 6.97 3.43–10.50 2.40–11.54 | 58% 14% 28% |
| Corners | 6.20 3.98–8.41 3.41–8.98 | 4.11 2.11–6.11 1.57–6.64 | 10.30 6.09–14.52 4.98–15.62 | 69% 21% |
| Possession % | 59.60 52.81–66.39 51.14–68.06 | 40.67 33.88–47.45 32.21–49.12 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 500 433–568 415–586 | 306 239–372 222–390 | 806 673–940 637–976 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.46 66.43–74.49 65.14–75.79 | 64.46 60.14–68.79 58.83–70.10 | — | 76% 20% |
| Fouls | 11.05 8.21–13.89 7.46–14.64 | 11.83 8.88–14.77 8.14–15.52 | 22.88 17.10–28.66 15.59–30.17 | 39% 52% |
| Offsides | 2.51 1.35–3.67 1.05–3.97 | 1.58 0.49–2.68 0.20–2.96 | 4.09 1.84–6.34 1.25–6.93 | 58% 19% 24% |
| Yellow cards | 1.60 0.55–2.65 0.29–2.92 | 2.39 1.26–3.52 0.97–3.81 | 4.00 1.82–6.18 1.26–6.73 | 25% 19% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.27 0.83–3.71 0.45–4.09 | 3.34 1.79–4.90 1.36–5.33 | 5.61 2.62–8.61 1.81–9.42 | 25% 16% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.