Championship·Regular Season - 27·
Championship·Regular Season - 27·Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
27%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.362.51safe0.18–2.120.50–2.210.69–4.33safer0.00–2.370.28–2.440.21–4.81
Shots on target
39%
14%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.814.117.92safe1.95–5.682.36–5.854.31–11.52safer1.46–6.171.90–6.313.36–12.48
Total shots
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction12.8411.3024.14safe8.91–16.767.74–14.8616.65–31.62safer7.82–17.866.78–15.8214.60–33.67
Shots in box
45%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction7.897.9315.83safe4.95–10.835.25–10.6210.20–21.45safer4.12–11.664.52–11.358.64–23.02
Blocked shots
47%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.033.727.75safe2.15–5.912.07–5.374.21–11.29safer1.61–6.461.57–5.863.18–12.32
Corners
43%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction4.924.969.88safe2.71–7.142.96–6.965.67–14.09safer2.14–7.712.42–7.494.56–15.20
Possession %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction44.9356.47safe38.13–51.7249.68–63.25safer36.47–53.3948.01–64.92
Passes
20%
80%
homeawaytotalprediction354456809safe286–421389–522676–943safer268–439372–540640–979
Pass accuracy %
87%
homeawayprediction62.1071.24safe58.07–66.1366.91–75.56safer56.78–67.4265.60–76.87
Fouls
36%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction10.9112.1923.11safe8.08–13.759.25–15.1417.32–28.89safer7.32–14.518.50–15.8815.82–30.39
Offsides
19%
17%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.522.794.31safe0.36–2.681.70–3.882.05–6.56safer0.06–2.981.41–4.171.46–7.15
Yellow cards
43%
21%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction2.001.803.81safe0.95–3.050.67–2.931.63–5.98safer0.69–3.320.38–3.221.07–6.54
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
41%
18%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction2.612.635.25safe1.18–4.051.08–4.192.26–8.24safer0.79–4.440.65–4.611.44–9.05
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.18–2.12 0.00–2.37 | 1.36 0.50–2.21 0.28–2.44 | 2.51 0.69–4.33 0.21–4.81 | 32% 27% 42% |
| Shots on target | 3.81 1.95–5.68 1.46–6.17 | 4.11 2.36–5.85 1.90–6.31 | 7.92 4.31–11.52 3.36–12.48 | 39% 14% 47% |
| Total shots | 12.84 8.91–16.76 7.82–17.86 | 11.30 7.74–14.86 6.78–15.82 | 24.14 16.65–31.62 14.60–33.67 | 58% 34% |
| Shots in box | 7.89 4.95–10.83 4.12–11.66 | 7.93 5.25–10.62 4.52–11.35 | 15.83 10.20–21.45 8.64–23.02 | 45% 45% |
| Blocked shots | 4.03 2.15–5.91 1.61–6.46 | 3.72 2.07–5.37 1.57–5.86 | 7.75 4.21–11.29 3.18–12.32 | 47% 14% 38% |
| Corners | 4.92 2.71–7.14 2.14–7.71 | 4.96 2.96–6.96 2.42–7.49 | 9.88 5.67–14.09 4.56–15.20 | 43% 44% |
| Possession % | 44.93 38.13–51.72 36.47–53.39 | 56.47 49.68–63.25 48.01–64.92 | — | 23% 73% |
| Passes | 354 286–421 268–439 | 456 389–522 372–540 | 809 676–943 640–979 | 20% 80% |
| Pass accuracy % | 62.10 58.07–66.13 56.78–67.42 | 71.24 66.91–75.56 65.60–76.87 | — | 87% |
| Fouls | 10.91 8.08–13.75 7.32–14.51 | 12.19 9.25–15.14 8.50–15.88 | 23.11 17.32–28.89 15.82–30.39 | 36% 56% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 2.79 1.70–3.88 1.41–4.17 | 4.31 2.05–6.56 1.46–7.15 | 19% 17% 64% |
| Yellow cards | 2.00 0.95–3.05 0.69–3.32 | 1.80 0.67–2.93 0.38–3.22 | 3.81 1.63–5.98 1.07–6.54 | 43% 21% 35% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.61 1.18–4.05 0.79–4.44 | 2.63 1.08–4.19 0.65–4.61 | 5.25 2.26–8.24 1.44–9.05 | 41% 18% 41% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.