Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
23%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.761.012.77safe0.79–2.730.16–1.870.95–4.59safer0.54–2.980.00–2.090.47–5.07
Shots on target
69%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.403.408.80safe3.54–7.271.65–5.145.20–12.41safer3.05–7.761.19–5.614.24–13.36
Total shots
87%
homeawaytotalprediction15.599.4825.07safe11.67–19.525.92–13.0417.59–32.56safer10.58–20.614.96–14.0015.53–34.61
Shots in box
74%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction9.506.4315.94safe6.56–12.443.75–9.1110.31–21.56safer5.73–13.273.02–9.858.75–23.13
Blocked shots
69%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction4.522.727.24safe2.64–6.411.06–4.373.70–10.78safer2.10–6.950.57–4.862.67–11.81
Corners
73%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.053.649.69safe3.83–8.261.64–5.645.47–13.90safer3.26–8.831.11–6.174.36–15.01
Possession %
86%
homeawayprediction59.4840.39safe52.69–66.2733.60–47.17safer51.02–67.9431.93–48.84
Passes
97%
homeawaytotalprediction6173891006safe550–684322–455872–1139safer531–702305–473836–1175
Pass accuracy %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction78.7273.62safe74.69–82.7569.30–77.95safer73.40–84.0467.99–79.26
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2411.2123.45safe9.40–15.078.27–14.1617.67–29.23safer8.64–15.837.52–14.9016.16–30.73
Offsides
20%
16%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction1.672.954.62safe0.51–2.831.86–4.052.37–6.87safer0.21–3.131.57–4.331.78–7.46
Yellow cards
29%
20%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.702.283.98safe0.65–2.751.15–3.411.80–6.16safer0.38–3.010.86–3.701.24–6.72
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.090.15safe0.00–0.220.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.370.00–0.410.00–0.78
GK saves
22%
15%
63%
homeawaytotalprediction2.173.455.62safe0.74–3.611.89–5.002.63–8.61safer0.35–4.001.47–5.431.82–9.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.76 0.79–2.73 0.54–2.98 | 1.01 0.16–1.87 0.00–2.09 | 2.77 0.95–4.59 0.47–5.07 | 55% 23% 22% |
| Shots on target | 5.40 3.54–7.27 3.05–7.76 | 3.40 1.65–5.14 1.19–5.61 | 8.80 5.20–12.41 4.24–13.36 | 69% 20% |
| Total shots | 15.59 11.67–19.52 10.58–20.61 | 9.48 5.92–13.04 4.96–14.00 | 25.07 17.59–32.56 15.53–34.61 | 87% |
| Shots in box | 9.50 6.56–12.44 5.73–13.27 | 6.43 3.75–9.11 3.02–9.85 | 15.94 10.31–21.56 8.75–23.13 | 74% 18% |
| Blocked shots | 4.52 2.64–6.41 2.10–6.95 | 2.72 1.06–4.37 0.57–4.86 | 7.24 3.70–10.78 2.67–11.81 | 69% 19% |
| Corners | 6.05 3.83–8.26 3.26–8.83 | 3.64 1.64–5.64 1.11–6.17 | 9.69 5.47–13.90 4.36–15.01 | 73% 17% |
| Possession % | 59.48 52.69–66.27 51.02–67.94 | 40.39 33.60–47.17 31.93–48.84 | — | 86% |
| Passes | 617 550–684 531–702 | 389 322–455 305–473 | 1006 872–1139 836–1175 | 97% |
| Pass accuracy % | 78.72 74.69–82.75 73.40–84.04 | 73.62 69.30–77.95 67.99–79.26 | — | 72% 24% |
| Fouls | 12.24 9.40–15.07 8.64–15.83 | 11.21 8.27–14.16 7.52–14.90 | 23.45 17.67–29.23 16.16–30.73 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 1.67 0.51–2.83 0.21–3.13 | 2.95 1.86–4.05 1.57–4.33 | 4.62 2.37–6.87 1.78–7.46 | 20% 16% 64% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.38–3.01 | 2.28 1.15–3.41 0.86–3.70 | 3.98 1.80–6.16 1.24–6.72 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.17 0.74–3.61 0.35–4.00 | 3.45 1.89–5.00 1.47–5.43 | 5.62 2.63–8.61 1.82–9.42 | 22% 15% 63% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+