Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
27%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction1.191.312.50safe0.22–2.160.45–2.160.68–4.32safer0.00–2.410.23–2.390.20–4.80
Shots on target
38%
14%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction4.044.458.49safe2.18–5.912.70–6.194.88–12.09safer1.69–6.402.24–6.653.93–13.05
Total shots
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2112.9525.17safe8.29–16.149.39–16.5217.68–32.65safer7.20–17.238.43–17.4815.63–34.70
Shots in box
48%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction8.147.8716.01safe5.20–11.085.19–10.5510.38–21.63safer4.37–11.914.45–11.288.82–23.20
Blocked shots
38%
15%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.413.727.13safe1.53–5.292.07–5.383.60–10.67safer0.98–5.841.58–5.872.56–11.70
Corners
50%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.134.639.77safe2.92–7.352.63–6.635.55–13.98safer2.35–7.922.10–7.174.45–15.09
Possession %
20%
77%
homeawayprediction43.8257.31safe37.03–50.6150.53–64.10safer35.36–52.2848.86–65.77
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction420566987safe353–487500–633853–1120safer335–506482–650817–1156
Pass accuracy %
19%
77%
homeawayprediction71.9278.15safe67.89–75.9573.82–82.47safer66.60–77.2472.51–83.78
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4012.1723.57safe8.56–14.249.23–15.1217.79–29.35safer7.81–14.998.48–15.8616.29–30.86
Offsides
69%
15%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction3.081.484.56safe1.92–4.240.39–2.582.31–6.81safer1.62–4.540.10–2.861.72–7.40
Yellow cards
31%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.093.76safe0.61–2.710.96–3.221.58–5.93safer0.35–2.980.67–3.511.02–6.49
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.270.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
45%
17%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.992.765.74safe1.55–4.421.20–4.312.75–8.74safer1.16–4.810.78–4.741.94–9.55
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.19 0.22–2.16 0.00–2.41 | 1.31 0.45–2.16 0.23–2.39 | 2.50 0.68–4.32 0.20–4.80 | 34% 27% 39% |
| Shots on target | 4.04 2.18–5.91 1.69–6.40 | 4.45 2.70–6.19 2.24–6.65 | 8.49 4.88–12.09 3.93–13.05 | 38% 14% 49% |
| Total shots | 12.21 8.29–16.14 7.20–17.23 | 12.95 9.39–16.52 8.43–17.48 | 25.17 17.68–32.65 15.63–34.70 | 40% 52% |
| Shots in box | 8.14 5.20–11.08 4.37–11.91 | 7.87 5.19–10.55 4.45–11.28 | 16.01 10.38–21.63 8.82–23.20 | 48% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.41 1.53–5.29 0.98–5.84 | 3.72 2.07–5.38 1.58–5.87 | 7.13 3.60–10.67 2.56–11.70 | 38% 15% 47% |
| Corners | 5.13 2.92–7.35 2.35–7.92 | 4.63 2.63–6.63 2.10–7.17 | 9.77 5.55–13.98 4.45–15.09 | 50% 37% |
| Possession % | 43.82 37.03–50.61 35.36–52.28 | 57.31 50.53–64.10 48.86–65.77 | — | 20% 77% |
| Passes | 420 353–487 335–506 | 566 500–633 482–650 | 987 853–1120 817–1156 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.92 67.89–75.95 66.60–77.24 | 78.15 73.82–82.47 72.51–83.78 | — | 19% 77% |
| Fouls | 11.40 8.56–14.24 7.81–14.99 | 12.17 9.23–15.12 8.48–15.86 | 23.57 17.79–29.35 16.29–30.86 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 3.08 1.92–4.24 1.62–4.54 | 1.48 0.39–2.58 0.10–2.86 | 4.56 2.31–6.81 1.72–7.40 | 69% 15% 16% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.71 0.35–2.98 | 2.09 0.96–3.22 0.67–3.51 | 3.76 1.58–5.93 1.02–6.49 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.99 1.55–4.42 1.16–4.81 | 2.76 1.20–4.31 0.78–4.74 | 5.74 2.75–8.74 1.94–9.55 | 45% 17% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.