Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
24%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.661.112.78safe0.70–2.630.26–1.970.95–4.60safer0.44–2.880.03–2.200.48–5.08
Shots on target
52%
13%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.623.958.57safe2.76–6.482.20–5.694.96–12.17safer2.27–6.971.74–6.154.01–13.13
Total shots
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8812.5926.47safe9.96–17.819.03–16.1618.99–33.96safer8.86–18.908.07–17.1216.94–36.01
Shots in box
51%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction9.098.5117.59safe6.14–12.035.83–11.1911.97–23.22safer5.31–12.865.09–11.9310.40–24.78
Blocked shots
43%
15%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction3.893.887.77safe2.01–5.772.23–5.544.24–11.31safer1.47–6.321.74–6.033.20–12.35
Corners
58%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction5.774.6410.41safe3.55–7.982.64–6.646.19–14.62safer2.98–8.552.11–7.175.08–15.73
Possession %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction48.6951.49safe41.90–55.4844.70–58.27safer40.23–57.1543.03–59.94
Passes
45%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction455470925safe387–522404–537791–1059safer369–540386–554756–1094
Pass accuracy %
19%
77%
homeawayprediction71.3477.66safe67.31–75.3773.33–81.98safer66.02–76.6672.02–83.29
Fouls
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9710.1523.12safe10.13–15.807.21–13.0917.33–28.90safer9.37–16.566.46–13.8415.83–30.40
Offsides
49%
22%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.403.30safe0.74–3.060.31–2.491.04–5.55safer0.44–3.360.02–2.780.45–6.14
Yellow cards
35%
22%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.691.873.57safe0.64–2.740.74–3.001.39–5.74safer0.38–3.010.45–3.290.83–6.30
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.070.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.260.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
37%
17%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.783.045.83safe1.35–4.221.49–4.602.83–8.82safer0.96–4.611.06–5.022.02–9.63
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.66 0.70–2.63 0.44–2.88 | 1.11 0.26–1.97 0.03–2.20 | 2.78 0.95–4.60 0.48–5.08 | 50% 24% 25% |
| Shots on target | 4.62 2.76–6.48 2.27–6.97 | 3.95 2.20–5.69 1.74–6.15 | 8.57 4.96–12.17 4.01–13.13 | 52% 13% 34% |
| Total shots | 13.88 9.96–17.81 8.86–18.90 | 12.59 9.03–16.16 8.07–17.12 | 26.47 18.99–33.96 16.94–36.01 | 56% 36% |
| Shots in box | 9.09 6.14–12.03 5.31–12.86 | 8.51 5.83–11.19 5.09–11.93 | 17.59 11.97–23.22 10.40–24.78 | 51% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 3.89 2.01–5.77 1.47–6.32 | 3.88 2.23–5.54 1.74–6.03 | 7.77 4.24–11.31 3.20–12.35 | 43% 15% 43% |
| Corners | 5.77 3.55–7.98 2.98–8.55 | 4.64 2.64–6.64 2.11–7.17 | 10.41 6.19–14.62 5.08–15.73 | 58% 31% |
| Possession % | 48.69 41.90–55.48 40.23–57.15 | 51.49 44.70–58.27 43.03–59.94 | — | 41% 54% |
| Passes | 455 387–522 369–540 | 470 404–537 386–554 | 925 791–1059 756–1094 | 45% 55% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.34 67.31–75.37 66.02–76.66 | 77.66 73.33–81.98 72.02–83.29 | — | 19% 77% |
| Fouls | 12.97 10.13–15.80 9.37–16.56 | 10.15 7.21–13.09 6.46–13.84 | 23.12 17.33–28.90 15.83–30.40 | 69% 24% |
| Offsides | 1.90 0.74–3.06 0.44–3.36 | 1.40 0.31–2.49 0.02–2.78 | 3.30 1.04–5.55 0.45–6.14 | 49% 22% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.69 0.64–2.74 0.38–3.01 | 1.87 0.74–3.00 0.45–3.29 | 3.57 1.39–5.74 0.83–6.30 | 35% 22% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.78 1.35–4.22 0.96–4.61 | 3.04 1.49–4.60 1.06–5.02 | 5.83 2.83–8.82 2.02–9.63 | 37% 17% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+